Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
11%chance▲ 3
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Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton debate? (Before Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
1%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 7% on Oct 19, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 16¢ | $6.25 | 571 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: James Talarico and Ken Paxton
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Talarico, Paxton trade blows while crisscrossing Texas in final days of campaign for US Senate seatSAN ANTONIO – As the 2026 campaign for one of Texas’ U.S. Senate seats comes to a close, James Talarico and Ken Paxton are trading blows as they try to drive supporters to the ballot box. Paxton described Talarico as “the most radical… -
Neil Bush Breaks With Republican Tradition to Endorse Texas Democrat James TalaricoAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the… -
ICE crackdown prompts some Texas Latinos to turn away from TrumpOctober 23, 2026 / 5:00 PM EDT / CBS News McAllen, Texas — Benny Melendez, the owner of a small construction company along this stretch of the U.S.-Mexico border, says he's been forced to take drastic measures to protect his immigrant… -
Bush dynasty delivers another blow to GOP in Texas Senate battle as family member breaks ranksTexas voters split in the Senate race between James Talarico and Ken Paxton as poll numbers show a dead heat. Tess Smith and Sarah Gardner join the panel to discuss concerns that Talarico is too liberal and examine his past controversial… -
CNN Copies MS NOW: Mark McKinnon Suggests Trump Could Be on Grindr!On Thursday's CNN This Morning, Mark McKinnon offered a snide suggestion about President Trump’s sexuality. Commenting on Trump’s habit of sizing up male physiques, McKinnon said: “Check Truth Social just to make sure he doesn’t have a… -
Recommended StoriesGreg Abbott may hold the keys to the Texas Senate race as he faces a tough battle of his own Washington Examiner A new poll suggests that the outcome of the hotly contested Texas Senate race may be in Gov. Greg Abbott’s (R-TX) hands. Fox… -
Texas Senate race heats up as James Talarico faces voter scrutinyFox News Texas Senate race heats up as James Talarico faces voter scrutiny Tess Smith and Sarah Gardner join 'Fox & Friends First' to discuss the Texas Senate race between James Talarico and Ken Paxton. Texas voters split in the Senate… -
Paxton, Talarico tied in Texas Senate race: FOX News pollA new Fox News poll shows Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico tied at 49% in Texas' U.S. Senate race, as the candidates continue to disagree over a potential debate. FOX 7 Austin's Julieanna Jackson has details. AUSTIN, Texas… -
2026 Election: Texas Senate candidates claim momentum despite conflicting pollsNew polling numbers come in as candidates are on bus tours In the U.S. Senate race, James Talarico and Ken Paxton each say they have momentum TEXAS - The new and conflicting polling numbers come as candidates are about to close out the… -
EVSC bus reported on fireHENDERSON, Ky. (WEHT) - An EVSC bus was reported on fire on Evansville's west side just before 7 a.m. today. The school bus was on Willow Creek Drive and Hauschild Drive. The kids and driver are reported to have made it safely off the bus… -
Pumpkin Patch Frenzy Goes Into Overdrive Thanks to Social MediaWith the fall season ramping up, pumpkin patches and apple orchards are seeing an unprecedented surge in patrons, with social media the driving force behind the frenzy. Now those seeking to carve out time for a little fall fun are facing… -
'Atlanta in 5': Fans cheer on Dream as they chase WNBA titleAtlanta Dream fans are ecstatic following a dominant performance in Game 3 of the WNBA Final against the Golden State Valkyries. Hear what spectators had to say. Hundreds of people remain evacuated from their homes days after the chemical…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.