Alaska State Senate winner?
87%Republican party
- Republican party87%
- Democratic party7%
Install
Texas State House winner?
The odds
74%Republican party
- Republican party74%▼ 2
- Democratic party22%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Republican party: 82% on Oct 20, 74% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican party | 74% | ▼ 2 | 73¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 12.4K |
| Democratic party | 22% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 5.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas House of Representatives, Texas State House
Search ›-
MAGA Has a Bush Problem in TexasOct 23, 2026 at 08:00 AM EDT For the past 32 years, whenever the Springfield Republican Party meets in its spooky castle outside town, present for gatherings is The Rich Texan. A gun-toting, cowboy hat-wearing, fiscal conservative, Richard… -
Texas Midterms: Who’s Winning the Battle for Voters?Co-hosts Brandon Rottinghaus and Jeronimo Cortina delve into the latest news in politics Will democrats take back the United States House of Representatives. Who will win the Texas senate race? What does the Latino vote look like… -
James Talarico targets Ken Paxton, Elon Musk at San Antonio rallyDemocratic U.S. Senate candidate James Talarico promised to “beat the billionaires and take back Texas” at a Saturday rally in San Antonio. Talarico spoke to hundreds of cheering supporters at 1902 Nightclub in St. Paul’s Square Saturday… -
US midterm elections 2026: Who are the Indian-origin candidates and where are they contesting?The elections will determine which party controls Congress for the final two years of US President Donald Trump’s second term. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats are scheduled to be contested, alongside… -
Hayes to face Stith, Hamilton in Texas House District 57 raceRepublican incumbent Richard Hayes will face Democrat Ray Stith and Libertarian Darren Hamilton in the race to represent District 57 in the Texas House of Representatives. The district covers parts of Ponder, Northlake, Corinth, Lake… -
Members of Bush dynasty support Talarico in US Senate race: 'Character matters more'Barbara Bush and Neil Bush, the daughter and brother of former President George W. Bush respectively, are supporting Democratic Texas state Rep. James Talarico in the U.S. Senate race, prompting criticism from some Republicans who… -
DeBurr returns to challenge GOP’s Mitch Little again for Texas House District 65Mitch Little, left, and Detrick DeBurr Democrat Detrick DeBurr is up against incumbent Republican Mitch Little for the Texas House of Representatives District 65 race Both candidates ran unopposed in their respective primaries. Little… -
The Bush family are determined to bring down Trump - even if it means turning Texas blue to achieve it: 'It's political civil war'By HARRIET ALEXANDER, US SENIOR FEATURES WRITER and CHARLIE SPIERING, US POLITICAL REPORTER A little over 20 years ago, Ken Paxton, then in the Texas House of Representatives, was asked by the Dallas Morning News to name his crowning… -
Denton County elections: Democratic challenger Evans faces Andy Hopper for Texas House District 64 seatRepublican incumbent Andy Hopper will face Democratic candidate Julie Evans in the race for Texas House of Representative District 64 District 64 encompasses the western and northern portions of Denton County, including most of the city of… - James Talarico, the former middle school teacher challenging Ken Paxton in Texas Senate raceJames Dell Talarico is currently in the spotlight as he runs for a US Senate seat from Texas, challenging Republican candidate and state attorney general Ken Paxton. The race has garnered widespread attention as Texas hasn’t seen an…
-
Ken Paxton, the Texas attorney general seeking a seat in the US SenateWarren Kenneth Paxton Jr. is currently representing the Republican Party in the 2026 US Senate race in Texas, where he will be competing against Democratic nominee James Talarico. With President Donald Trump backing Paxton, Republicans… -
Alisa L. Simmons, Democratic candidate for Tarrant County JudgeThe March 3 primaries determined Republican and Democratic nominees for county, state and federal offices before the November midterm elections. In races that saw no candidate win more than 50% of votes, the top two vote-getters face off…
Related markets
All state & local ›Arizona State Senate winner?
77%Democratic party
- Democratic party77%
- Republican party14%
Georgia State Senate winner?
88%Republican party
- Republican party88%
- Democratic party13%
Iowa State Senate winner?
93%Republican party
- Republican party93%▲ 1
- Democratic party3%
Maine State Senate winner?
94%Democratic party
- Democratic party94%
- Republican party7%
Michigan State Senate winner?
86%Democratic party
- Democratic party86%
- Republican party14%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions