Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?

Kalshi Elections › State & local Closes Nov 2, 2027 · $71 today · $20.1K traded · $6.9K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

91%English as Official State Language Amendment
  • English as Official State Language Amendment91%▲ 1
  • Drug Legalization Authority Amendment45%▲ 1
  • Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act27%▲ 2

How the odds have moved

English as Official State Language Amend: 94% on Oct 20, 91% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETEnglish as Official State…: 94% → 89%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
English as Official State Language Amendment 91% ▲ 1 89¢ 92¢ $1.09 9.5K
Drug Legalization Authority Amendment 45% ▲ 1 41¢ 48¢ $2.08 12.3K
Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act 27% ▲ 2 26¢ 27¢ $3.70 22.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Idaho, Drug Legalization Authority Amendment

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  • Idaho Sunshine Report reveals fundraising gaps among North Idaho legislative candidatesCoeur d'Alene Press · 39 h agoData in the Idaho Sunshine Report shows major differences in funding among North Idaho’s state congressional candidates. Many candidates seek individual support rather than business support, while some seek neither and have done little to…
  • Idaho Liberty Bell coming to Coeur d’AleneCoeur d'Alene Press · 15 h agoIdaho’s replica of the Liberty Bell sits on the back of a Ford F-450 flatbed truck in front of the State Capitol. IDAHO STATE TREASURER'S OFFICE Some guests are literally about to arrive in Coeur d’Alene with bells on. Well, at least one…
  • Idaho lawmakers weigh $3M in drug prevention, treatment proposalsBonner County Daily Bee · 15 h agoThe legislative Joint Millennium Fund Committee, which oversees the endowment, heard 10 proposals Friday for use of the settlement money, which must go toward drug and alcohol prevention. As of Sept. 30, the fund’s balance was nearly $43.5…
  • Idaho Congressional candidates talk public lands, rising healthcare costsIdaho Press · 24 h agoIncumbent Republican Rep. Mike Simpson (right) is seeking his 15th term after first being elected to the U.S. House in 1998. His challengers include Democrat Ellie Gilbreath (left) and Independent Tripp Hutchinson (center. As U.S. Rep…
  • What’s up with the Idaho Senate race?NonStop Local KHQ · 46 h agoIDAHO - It’s a trend that’s taken on new life the election cycle, independent candidates running against establishment backed big names. Orion Donovan Smith, who's from Washington and writes for the The Spokesman-Review via the Report for…
  • Opinion: Idaho voters deserve trustworthy informationPost Register · 2 days agoIdaho families face serious challenges. War, tariffs and cuts to health coverage are making life more expensive for everyone. That makes your voting decisions all the more critical this year. Unfortunately, misleading ads are pouring into…
  • Idaho Matters Reporter Roundtable: October 23, 2026Boise State Public Radio · 2 days agoIt’s Friday, which means it's time for our Reporter Roundtable when Idaho Matters gets you up to date on all the news that made headlines this past week. More than 70 female smokejumpers gathered in McCall for a reunion. Idaho voters will…
  • Idaho Sec. of State says Prop 1 ads followed campaign finance lawsBoise State Public Radio · 45 h agoA recent TV ad supporting Proposition 1 followed all campaign finance laws, according to the Idaho Secretary of State’s office. The controversy over the ad focused on how it was paid for. Idahoans United for Women and Families, which…
  • Idaho lawmakers weigh $3M in drug prevention and treatment proposalsYahoo News · 2 days agoIdaho lawmakers will weigh whether to fund several drug-prevention and treatment projects, totaling over $3 million, through the state's endowment fund from tobacco lawsuit settlement money. The legislative Joint Millennium Fund Committee…
  • Massachusetts and Idaho put guns on the ballot. One seeks to restrict them, the other to honor themThe Independent · 9 h agoParked in his truck along a rural Idaho highway on his way to an elk hunt, Neill Goodfellow pondered a question that will appear on his November ballot: which of six historic firearms to choose as the official state gun? Goodfellow is…
  • Idaho’s Abortion Fight Has Become a Fight Over Voter PowerTruthdig · 2 days ago“As a nurse, I don’t feel safe here,” she says. “As a mother of two daughters, I definitely don’t feel safe here.” There are precious few exceptions — in cases of rape and incest, an abortion can only be performed within the first…
  • Proposition 1 in Idaho Eliminates Parental Consent, Allows Abortions Up to BirthLifeNews.com · 2 days agoProposition 1 in Idaho endangers the lives of women and preborn babies for a whole host of reasons. Yet its potential impact on parental consent and parental rights is something that deserves particular attention. Imagine your 14-year-old…

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KalshiCloses Nov 2, 2027 · $242 today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions