How many launches will SpaceX have in November? (Nov 2026)

Kalshi Tech › Space Closes Dec 1 · $5.4K today · $11K traded · $10K at stake · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

8.65median
517
Median 8.65Middle half 7.91 – 9.49

How the odds have moved

Median: 10.1 on Oct 31, 8.65 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 6 94% 90¢ 97¢ $1.03 72.00
Above 7 91% ▲ 6 90¢ 92¢ $1.09 3.0K
Above 8 74% ▼ 3 73¢ 74¢ $1.35 7.1K
Above 9 38% ▼ 7 36¢ 39¢ $2.56 5.7K
Above 10 12% ▼ 21 11¢ 13¢ $7.69 6.5K
Above 11 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 1.3K
Above 12 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 2.0K
Above 13 2% ▲ 1 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 228
Above 14 1% 1¢ $100.00 102
Above 15 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00
Above 16 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: SpaceX

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  • SpaceX president gifts 2 MILLION shares to Trump AccountsFox News · 2 days agoSpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell announced she is gifting over 2 million shares of her company's stock to Trump Accounts. SpaceX president gifts 2 MILLION shares to Trump Accounts SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell announced she is gifting…
  • Happy Halloween! SpaceX launches 27 Starlink satellites to orbit from CaliforniaSpace · 3 days agoIt was the 118th Falcon 9 launch of the year so far. A Falcon 9 rocket lifted off from Vandenberg Space Force Base today (Oct. 31) at 12:04 a.m. EDT (0404 GMT; 9:04 p.m. on Oct. 30 local time), sending 27 of the company's Starlink internet…
  • 'Defund Musk': Former Clinton Cabinet official urges Democrats to target SpaceX founderFox Business · 48 h agoReich urged Democrats to lay the groundwork for government control of Musk's companies during an appearance on the Coffee Klatch podcast, accusing the billionaire of wielding too much political power (Credit: Youtube/Robert Reich). Former…
  • SpaceX loses bid to toss NAACP lawsuit over Memphis data center air pollutionCNBC · 2 days agoSpaceX's AI division, SpaceXAI, lost its bid to dismiss an NAACP lawsuit, which is proceeding in federal court in Mississippi, according to a judge's opinion released late Friday. The lawsuit claims that the AI division of CEO Elon Musk's…
  • Anthropic is now SpaceX’s biggest customersemafor.com · 3 days agoAnthropic became SpaceX’s biggest customer, accounting for a third of sales last quarter, underscoring the intense concentration of the tech market. Investors have grown concerned that the AI industry — and the economy writ large — is…
  • How Ukraine Is Using SpaceX To Escape Elon MuskNewsweek · 3 days agoOct 30, 2026 at 06:11 AM EDT For much of October, Ukraine’s military found itself fighting with one hand tied behind its back. Restrictions on Elon Musk’s Starlink and Starshield networks disrupted battlefield communications and rendered…
  • Elon Musk, CZ Trade Blows Over SpaceX Shares After $6.4B Binance HackDecrypt · 3 days agoBinance co-founder Changpeng Zhao, better known as CZ, called out Elon Musk on Friday after the billionaire appeared to mock the exchange following a $6.4 billion hack—the largest in history—reminding him that Binance holds SpaceX shares…
  • Nvidia: SpaceX Offers An Ignored BonusSeeking Alpha · 19 h agoNvidia Corporation could see a major growth boost from SpaceX AI data center spending and rising AI infrastructure demand. Click for my bullish take on NVDA shares. - Nvidia Corporation is set up to get a large bonus via SpaceX's massive…
  • Tesla and SpaceX are ‘better together’ as AI spending surges: ArkCNBC · 4 days agoArk Invest's Frank Downing says his conviction in SpaceX is growing despite its substantial AI capital requirements, citing the potential for strong returns on compute infrastructure. He argues that a merger with Tesla could unlock cash…
  • In Brief: SpaceX Cargo Dragon Delivers Rollouts, Research To ISSAviation Week Network · 28 h agoSpaceX Cargo Dragon Delivers Rollouts, Research To ISS In Brief: SpaceX Cargo Dragon Delivers Rollouts, Research To ISS In Brief: SpaceX Cargo Dragon Delivers Rollouts, Research To ISS is published in Aerospace Daily & Defense Report, an…
  • SpaceX is the single most undervalued opportunity on the planet: Keith Fitz-GeraldCNBC · 4 days agoKeith Fitz-Gerald, principal of Fitz-Gerald Group, sees SpaceX as the most undervalued opportunity on the planet — and also the most contentious. SpaceX is the single most undervalued opportunity on the planet: Keith Fitz-Gerald
  • Letters: Louisiana sold SpaceX land for chump changeThe Advocate · 13 h agoGov. Jeff Landry speaks during the announcement of plans to build a SpaceX spaceport on the Louisiana coast south of Pecan Island Tuesday, August 25, 2026, in Abbeville, La. The news media is full of coverage about controversial land deals…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions