How many launches will SpaceX have in October? (Oct 2026)
10.4median
517
Median 10.4Middle half 10.1 – 10.7
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How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
The odds
142.4median
100220
Median 142.4Middle half 140.0 – 144.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 143.1 on Oct 20, 142.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 120 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 42.1K | |
| Above 140 | 76% | ▲ 3 | 74¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 95.5K |
| Above 145 | 23% | ▼ 1 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 27.9K |
| Above 150 | 6% | ▼ 3 | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 54.2K |
| Above 160 | 4% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 187.7K |
| Above 170 | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 90.4K | |
| Above 180 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 135.8K |
| Above 190 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 47.5K | |
| Above 200 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 34.5K | |
| Above 210 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 52.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: SpaceX
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Calls of the Day: SpaceX and ServiceNowThe Investment Committee debates the latest Calls of the Day. Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox Get this ... Calls of the Day: SpaceX and ServiceNow -
Options Action: SpaceX volatility simmers downCNBCâs Oliver Renick joins âClosing Bellâ to discuss the latest Options Action. Options Action: SpaceX volatility simmers down -
SpaceX launches Starlink satellites from California as Falcon 9 cadence slows (photos)Soon, it'll be all Starship, all the time. SpaceX launched its newest batch of Starlink broadband internet satellites today (Oct. 23) from the California coast. The spacecraft, Starlink Group 15-15, were stacked 27 high inside the payload… -
SpaceX’s mobile carrier push reportedly involves tapping into 80,000 cell sitesSpaceX is planning to secure access to at least 80,000 cell sites in the US as part of efforts to become a “major” mobile carrier in the US. The Elon Musk-owned company is in talks with one of the largest cell tower owners in the US… -
Top Ukrainian diplomat says SpaceX satellite access is still restrictedUkrainian officials say their access to the SpaceX satellite service remains restricted, despite President Trump's claim that Elon Musk has fully restored access. Denys Sienik, Chargé d'Affaires at the Embassy of Ukraine in the U.S., joins… -
Exclusive / SpaceX-Tesla merger could face antitrust scrutinyCould the Tesla-SpaceX merger that Elon Musk floated this week pose antitrust problems? One former Justice Department official told Semafor that the risks are real. Antitrust regulators view such “vertical” mergers as pro-competition, the… -
Musk's SpaceX is still restricting Starlink in Ukraine and the toll is risingSpaceX's Starlink internet system continues to be throttled in Ukraine as the stakes rise for the war-torn country, Ukrainian officials and a national security expert said Friday. "Every day matters for Ukraine, because every Ukrainian… -
Rocket Report: SpaceX says no thanks to military launches; Spanish rocket nearly ready“We believe Canada should be able to reach orbit on its own terms.” Welcome to Edition 9.16 of the Rocket Report! Lots of SpaceX-related news this week including a couple of Thursday shockers. In one story, the company told the US Space… -
With earnings in rearview mirror, SpaceX-Tesla merger chatter takes center stageElon Musk told Tesla shareholders on Wednesday that, when it comes to a potential merger with SpaceX, he’d already “said everything that should be said.” Tesla’s head of investor relations told analysts before opening the call to their… -
SpaceX-Tesla-merger-Ray WangAnalyst sees boost to SpaceX shares in long run if Tesla merger happens CNBC Analyst sees boost to SpaceX shares in long run if Tesla merger happens -
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Texas has considered selling beloved state park to SpaceX / Texas MonthlyCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Texas has considered…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.