Los Angeles Mayor winner? (2026)
56%Nithya Raman
- Nithya Raman56%▲ 1
- Karen Bass45%▲ 1
Install
South Dakota Secretary of State winner? (2026)
The odds
94%Heather Baxter
- Heather Baxter94%▲ 1
- Terrence Davis4%
- Tamara J. Lesnar2%
How the odds have moved
Heather Baxter: 82% on Oct 19, 94% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 1 PM ETHeather Baxter: 84% → 90%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Baxter | 94% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 801 |
| Terrence Davis | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 282 | |
| Tamara J. Lesnar | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 15.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Dakota Secretary of State, Heather Baxter, Terrence Davis
Search ›-
Democratic South Dakota secretary of state candidate draws contributions from RepublicansPIERRE, S.D. (South Dakota Searchlight) – A Democrat’s campaign finance report shows some of his contributions coming from across the political divide as he campaigns for South Dakota secretary of state, after the Republican incumbent… -
Democratic SD Secretary Of State Candidate Drawing Contributions From RepublicansDemocratic nominee for South Dakota secretary of state, Terrence Davis. A Democrat’s campaign finance report shows some of his contributions coming from across the political divide as he campaigns for South Dakota secretary of state, after… -
Baxter Outraising and Far Outspending Davis in Campaign for Secretary of StateIn the campaign for Secretary of State, radical right-winger Heather Baxter is beating Democrat Terrence Davis in raising and spending money. In her pre-general campaign finance report, Baxter repo… Baxter Outraising and Far Outspending… -
Secretary Of State Monae L. Johnson Reminds Voters To Check Their Polling Location(Pierre, S.D.) - With the November 3rd, 2026 General Election approaching, the South Dakota Secretary of State's Office encourages voters to confirm t... (Pierre, S.D.) â With the November 3rd, 2026 General Election approaching, the… -
Voter registration numbers show rise in Republican voters in SD from last yearPIERRE, S.D. (Dakota News Now) - Republicans have a sizable advantage in terms of the number of registered voters going into the November general election. The South Dakota Secretary of State’s website indicates 330,853 registered… -
Individual donations fund Democratic candidatesCampaign finance reports released Monday and Tuesday have illustrated how candidates for statewide office have funded their campaigns and spent those dollars before Nov. 3. Candidates for statewide office, including governor and executive… -
Codington County Ordinance 83 Debate: Supporters, Opponents Clash Over Half-Cent Sales Tax for Property Tax ReliefNortheast Radio SD News – Watertown, SD - The second half of Wednesday night's ballot forum at Lake Area Technical College turned local, as panelists and audience members debated Codington County Ordinance 83—a referred measure that would… -
Lake County Democrats Drain Piggy Bank Backing Candidates; Lake County Republicans Supporting NobodyChecking the District 12 Senate campaign finance reports got me looking at my old local party, the Lake County Democrats, who admirably aren’t leaving anything in the tank. Their pre-general … Lake County Democrats Drain Piggy Bank Backing… -
Republicans for top state offices out-raise opponentsGov. Larry Rhoden saw over $1 million in individual donations while secretary of state candidate Heather Baxter received $105,000, in part from legislators and the Freedom Caucus. Gov. Larry Rhoden out-raised his Democratic opponent by a… -
Statewide-office candidates file pre-election finance reportsThis developing story has been updated to include the report of the attorney general candidate and the report from one of the three secretary of state candidates. PIERRE, S.D. (KELO) -- Here's a look at the pre-election campaign-finance… -
SDGOP Complains about unfair treatment for SOS candidate. After Baxter submits handwritten report.Speaking of only providing only moral support, the SDGOP spent their time this attacking the Secretary of State, because they don’t think Heather Baxter is being treated fairly. Despite not bothering to find anything out. The SDGOP… -
Secretary Of State Monae L. Johnson Reminds Voters Of Today’s Voter Registration Deadline(Pierre, S.D.) - The South Dakota Secretary of State's Office reminds eligible South Dakotans that today is the voter registration deadline for the No... (Pierre, S.D.) â The South Dakota Secretary of Stateâs Office reminds eligible…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions