Los Angeles Mayor winner? (2026)
54%Nithya Raman
- Nithya Raman54%▲ 4
- Karen Bass46%▼ 1
Install
Michigan Secretary of State winner? (2026)
The odds
88%Garlin Gilchrist
- Garlin Gilchrist88%▲ 5
- Anthony Forlini13%▼ 5
How the odds have moved
Garlin Gilchrist: 85% on Oct 20, 88% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 5 PM ETGarlin Gilchrist: 83% → 88%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garlin Gilchrist | 88% | ▲ 5 | 87¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 9.7K |
| Anthony Forlini | 13% | ▼ 5 | 11¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 8.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan Secretary of State, Garlin Gilchrist, Anthony Forlini
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Anthony Forlini’s ‘election denier’ past is haunting him in the race for Michigan SOSMacomb County Clerk Anthony Forlini has a history of making overstated claims about non-citizen voting and seeking federal involvement in Michigan’s elections. During the Secretary of State debate on Oct. 8, Republican candidate Anthony… -
6 questions for secretary of state candidate Garlin GilchristThe women suffered minor injuries when they were assaulted at Clapton Common, police say. It's the first report released by the U.S. Secret Service on workplace violence. The GMB Union had planned 25 days of strike action between October… -
6 questions for secretary of state candidate Anthony ForliniMore than half a million young people will cast their ballots in Israel next week - and they could make all the difference. Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., is one of three House Democrats who have yet to pay their DCCC dues in full despite… -
Michigan voter registration due Monday if submitted by mail or onlineOctober 19, 2026 / 9:53 AM EDT / CBS Detroit If you plan to vote in the Nov. 3 election but are not yet a registered voter, the Michigan Secretary of State says Monday is the deadline to register by mail or online. All voter registration… -
UM voting site where Chinese national cast illegal ballot in 2024 remains activeIn 2024, Chinese University of Michigan student Haoxiang Gao allegedly cast an illegal ballot on campus with the help of lax procedures for same-day and early voting. The 19-year-old simply signed a voter registration application stating… -
Flint rally encourages voter turnout ahead of early votingThe Michigan Democratic Women’s Caucus held a get-out-the-vote rally in Flint Thursday as the state prepares for early in-person voting to begin Saturday. FLINT, Mich. (WJRT) - A get-out-the-vote rally brought voters, community leaders and… -
Garlin Gilchrist discusses Secretary of State 2026 election issuesFOX 2 Detroit Michigan Democratic Secretary of State candidate Garlin Gilchrist joined the Chaldean American Chamber of Commerce Annual Business Luncheon on Friday, Oct. 16 in Detroit. He talked with FOX 2’s Roop Raj about political issues… -
Watch: Mike Rogers, Garlin Gilchrist in convo with Roop Raj at CACC eventOn Friday, Oct. 16, Michigan Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers and Michigan Democratic Secretary of State candidate Garlin Gilchrist were in conversation with FOX 2’s Roop Raj at the Chaldean American Chamber of Commerce Annual… -
Virtual dead heat between El-Sayed, Rogers, per Marist pollThe Senate race in Michigan is a virtual dead heat, with only two percentage points separating Democratic nominee Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, a former Detroit health director, and former Republican congressman Mike Rogers, well within the margin… -
Garlin Gilchrist: Media Q&A at Detroit business luncheonFOX 2 Detroit Michigan Democratic Secretary of State candidate Garlin Gilchrist joined the Chaldean American Chamber of Commerce Annual Business Luncheon on Friday, Oct. 16, and took questions from the media before the event. -
What Michigan governor candidates said they'd do to lower costs for MichigandersMichigan gubernatorial candidates John James and Jocelyn Benson were asked in a debate what they would do to lower costs for Michiganders if elected governor. In the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial debate, hosted by WDIV and moderated by… -
More Than 780,000 Michiganders Have Already Voted, Up From 2022 At This TimeDeadline Detroit More Than 780,000 Michiganders Have Already Voted, Up From 2022 At This Time Two weeks before Election Day, more than 780,000 Michigan voters have returned their absentee ballots or voted at an early voting site, according…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.