Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Trump (3+ times)
78%
▲ 2
55¢
79¢
$1.27
2.5K
Fraud
67%
10¢
23¢
$4.35
Iran / Iranian
61%
▲ 5
39¢
61¢
$1.64
198
Economy / Economic
58%
▼ 1
37¢
64¢
$1.56
149
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
53%
40¢
55¢
$1.82
554
Democrat
53%
▲ 20
39¢
53¢
$1.89
80.00
Inflation
49%
42¢
55¢
$1.82
218
Russia / Ukraine
49%
29¢
50¢
$2.00
58.00
Election / Midterm
36%
22¢
44¢
$2.27
36.00
Border
36%
35¢
46¢
$2.17
64.00
Nuclear
36%
35¢
46¢
$2.17
110
AI / Artificial Intelligence
36%
24¢
36¢
$2.78
41.00
Venezuela
34%
8¢
29¢
$3.45
55.00
China / Chinese
32%
28¢
36¢
$2.78
1.0K
Illegal Alien
32%
24¢
35¢
$2.86
61.00
Biden
30%
38¢
49¢
$2.04
95.00
Fake News
30%
13¢
32¢
$3.13
16.00
Leavitt
25%
20¢
29¢
$3.45
61.00
California
12%
7¢
16¢
$6.25
120
Event does not qualify/occur
6%
▼ 2
4¢
8¢
$12.50
13.8K
Crypto / Bitcoin
6%
5¢
6¢
$16.67
10.00
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
2%
6¢
22¢
$4.55
31.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.