Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
May 28, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 202613%▼ 4
- January 31, 202724%▲ 1
- February 28, 202729%▼ 1
2 more
- June 30, 202758%▼ 1
- December 31, 202763%▼ 3
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When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
The odds
54%Before 2028
- Before 202854%
- Before March 202710%▲ 1
- Before February 20276%▲ 1
- Before 20274%▲ 1
- Before December 20262%▲ 1
- Before November 20261%
How the odds have moved
Before 2028: 55% on Oct 20, 54% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2028 | 54% | 50¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 4.7K | |
| Before March 2027 | 10% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 7.2K |
| Before October 2026 | 7% | $14.29 | 11.00 | |||
| Before February 2027 | 6% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 4.6K |
| Before 2027 | 4% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 6.7K |
| Before December 2026 | 2% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 3.5K |
| Before November 2026 | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 812 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Rocket Lab Corporation, Neutron Neutron Launch
Search ›-
How Rocket Lab Corporation Became A Falling Knife(NASDAQ:RKLB) Seeking Alpha - Rocket Lab Corporation still remains overvalued despite a 66% pullback, now trading at 19.6x FY28E revenue. - RKLB has faced persistent delays with its Neutron rocket, and its Iridium acquisition adds… -
MISSION SUCCESS: Rocket Lab Launches 98th Electron Mission--Rocket Lab Corporation, a global leader in launch services and space systems, today launched its Electron rocket to deliver a dedicated mission to space for HawkEye 360, a signals intelligence data and analytics company. The‘ We're Not… -
Long Rocket Lab, Short AST SpaceMobile: One Owns Its Path, The Other Rents It From SpaceXRocket Lab Corporation is upgraded to Buy, while AST SpaceMobile remains a Sell, reinforcing the pair trade thesis after recent corrections. Click for more. - Rocket Lab Corporation is upgraded to Buy, while AST SpaceMobile remains a Sell… -
Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Completes 98th Electron Launch, Deploying HawkEye 360 SatellitesBy David Prior | Oct 23, 2026 | Economy & Business, Featured, News & Analysis Rocket Lab Corporation (NASDAQ: RKLB), a global leader in launch services and space systems, has successfully completed its 98th Electron rocket launch… -
Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) Stock Price Up 5.5% – Should You Buy?Posted by Danessa Lincoln on Oct 23rd, 2026 Rocket Lab Corporation (NASDAQ:RKLB – Get Free Report) shot up 5.5% during mid-day trading on Wednesday. The stock traded as high as $53.90 and last traded at $53.6890. 17,430,986 shares traded… - Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) Stock Price Up 1% – What’s Next?Posted by Danessa Lincoln on Oct 21st, 2026 Rocket Lab Corporation (NASDAQ:RKLB – Get Free Report) shares shot up 1% during mid-day trading on Monday. The company traded as high as $52.99 and last traded at $51.36. 16,896,620 shares traded…
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Rocket Lab Announces Date of Third Quarter 2026 Financial ResultsCarroll County Mirror-Democrat LONG BEACH, Calif., Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Rocket Lab Corporation (Nasdaq: RKLB), a global leader in launch services and space systems, today announced that it will release its financial results… -
Rocket Lab: I'm Doubling Down After The CrashRocket Lab: I’m Doubling Down After The Crash (NASDAQ:RKLB) Seeking Alpha Alones Creative/iStock via Getty Images It has never been difficult for me to believe in Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB). It has always been difficult for me to… -
Elon Musk Just Dropped a Big Hint About SpaceX’s $28.5 Trillion Opportunity — ‘It Is Vastly Higher Than That’Space Exploration Technologies Corp. SPCX CEO Elon Musk defended his plan to distribute shares in his companies to the public on Monday. The billionaire owner also hinted that SpaceX’s market opportunity could be significantly larger than… - Rocket Lab Corporation $RKLB Stock Acquired by TB Alternative Assets Ltd.MarketBeat Rocket Lab Corporation $RKLB Stock Acquired by TB Alternative Assets Ltd. - TB Alternative Assets increased its Rocket Lab position by 508.5% in the third quarter, purchasing 268,000 additional shares for a total of 320,703…
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CoreWeave, Broadcom, Verizon, Others Object to Tokenized Share Trading on OKXICEOctober 18, 2026 @ 5:47 pm By Omar Faridi Several US-listed companies have submitted formal objections that prevent tokenized versions of their shares from trading on OKXICE, a planned Tokenized Securities Venue. According to the venue’s… -
Rocket Lab extends losing streak with another 8% retreatRocket Lab (RKLB) stock slid 8% as Neutron’s first launch slipped to 2027 on manufacturing issues. SA Spotlight uses AI to summarize content published on Seeking Alpha. All summaries are reviewed by human editors prior to publication…
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All space ›How many launches will SpaceX have in October? (Oct 2026)
10.4median
517
Median 10.4Middle half 10.1 – 10.7
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
74%November 30, 2026
- November 30, 202674%▼ 2
- Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?66%▼ 1
- Chopsticks catch Starship?54%▼ 14
4 more
- Super Heavy booster explodes?40%▲ 1
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- November 15, 202620%▲ 3
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Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? (Before 2027)
23%Before Jan 20, 2029
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- Before Jan 1, 202814%
- Before Jan 1, 20275%
2 more
- Before Dec 1, 20263%
- Before Nov 1, 20261%
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
Sep 20, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 20263%
- December 31, 202769%▲ 4
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$929.07Bmedian
$600B$1.3T
Median $929.07BMiddle half $849.18B – $980.47B
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions