Next Black Panther film: Main protagonist

Kalshi Culture › Movies & box office Closes Dec 31, 2028 · $18 today · $1.4K traded · $1.1K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

23%John David Washington
  • John David Washington23%▲ 19
  • John Boyega20%▲ 17
  • Denzel Washington16%▲ 6
  • Michael B. Jordan6%▲ 4
  • Damson Idris4%▲ 2
  • Aaron Pierre4%▲ 1
  • Daniel Kaluuya3%
  • Winston Duke3%
  • Letitia Wright2%▼ 2
  • Yahya Abdul-Mateen II2%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

John David Washington: 4% on Oct 19, 23% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 25, 5 PM ETJohn David Washington: 5% → 23%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
John David Washington 23% ▲ 19 23¢ $4.35 2.7K
John Boyega 20% ▲ 17 26¢ $3.85 1.0K
Denzel Washington 16% ▲ 6 1¢ 53¢ $1.89 2.0K
Michael B. Jordan 6% ▲ 4 1¢ 21¢ $4.76 510
Damson Idris 4% ▲ 2 25¢ $4.00 2.4K
Aaron Pierre 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 99¢ $1.01 308
Daniel Kaluuya 3% 6¢ $16.67 558
Winston Duke 3% 5¢ $20.00 1.4K
Letitia Wright 2% ▼ 2 1¢ 22¢ $4.55 1.3K
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II 2% ▼ 2 1¢ 99¢ $1.01 563

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Black Panther, Main Protagonist, Main

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions