Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
67Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 67KMiddle half 8K – 113K
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Jobs numbers in October 2026?
The odds
72Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 72KMiddle half 18K – 105K
How the odds have moved
Median: 72K on Oct 20, 72K now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -25,000 | 94% | 93¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 5.3K | |
| Above 0 | 86% | 84¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 4.5K | |
| Above 10,000 | 83% | 80¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 1.4K | |
| Above 20,000 | 74% | ▲ 1 | 71¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 12.3K |
| Above 30,000 | 68% | 64¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 27.6K | |
| Above 40,000 | 65% | ▼ 1 | 62¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 11.5K |
| Above 50,000 | 59% | 58¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 22.4K | |
| Above 60,000 | 55% | ▼ 6 | 51¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 2.1K |
| Above 70,000 | 52% | 51¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 24.1K | |
| Above 80,000 | 45% | ▲ 3 | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 15.3K |
| Above 90,000 | 36% | ▼ 1 | 33¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 2.4K |
| Above 100,000 | 28% | ▼ 3 | 27¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 3.4K |
| Above 125,000 | 14% | 12¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 3.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jobs
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Zohran Mamdani’s contempt for doing his job will cost him — and NYCThe Post’s exposure of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s weird habit of not bothering to sign bills into law bodes ill for him and for the city. He’s taken the trouble to sign just one in his first 10 months, vs. 30, 47 and 28 for the last three… -
Democratic senator accused of 'political malpractice' after job ad ignites firestorm over DEI languageFox News contributor Mary Katharine Ham discusses Sen. Ed Markey's, D-Mass., internship posting encouraging 'underrepresented candidates' to apply and argues its DEI-focused language comes close to violating hiring laws on 'The Will Cain… -
Miami Dade College professor finds his passion with side job at Hard Rock StadiumOctober 24, 2026 / 9:27 AM EDT / CBS Miami A Miami Dade College professor has turned his love for sports and connecting with people into a rewarding side job at Hard Rock Stadium, where he helps thousands of fans enjoy some of South… -
I quit my marketing job to walk dogs for 4 months: It's 'one of the most valuable professional experiences I've ever had'One early morning in 2022, I found myself watching a dog walker on TikTok and thinking: I want her job. It felt ridiculous. I was finishing up my MBA and navigating the next chapter of my career with a focus on prestige and financial… -
Government identifying AI-proof jobs: GoyalUnion Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal has said the government is identifying professions less vulnerable to artificial intelligence (AI), with a focus on sectors where technology can enhance efficiency without replacing human… -
Paedophile sentenced for nursery job email fraudFollowing his conviction it emerged he had applied for a job at another nursery after his arrest, using fake email addresses to send bogus references to secure employment. On Friday, Parry, formerly ... Paedophile sentenced for nursery job… -
AI Job Growth Claims Outrun the EvidenceA new study from Ramp and Revelio Labs offers valuable evidence about how companies behave after investing heavily in artificial intelligence. Unfortunately, the resulting headlines, hyped by the authors themselves claiming AI doesn’t… -
Louisiana adds 36,000 jobs, with construction leading(The Center Square) – Louisiana added 36,000 payroll jobs over the past year, with construction accounting for more than half of the increase, according to preliminary figures Louisiana Works released Tuesday. The state’s seasonally… -
GitHub Actions: A Successful Job Is Not Publication EvidenceA scheduled publishing job can finish successfully without creating a public post. That is not necessarily a defect. The job might have selected the other daylight-saving trigger, found no reviewed content, performed a dry run, or… -
Centre Seeks AI-Proof Jobs For Indian To Lead In FutureThe commerce ministry is identifying professions that are less vulnerable to artificial intelligence (AI) to prepare for the fast-changing technological landscape and tap opportunities for India to emerge as a global leader, Union minister… -
McMahon plans to 'fire' herself out of a job, striving to show Congress that the Dept of Ed is not neededLinda McMahon asks Congress to let her prove the Department of Education can be dismantled without disrupting federal student loans or K-12 funding. U.S. Education Secretary Linda McMahon doubled down on closing the Department of Education… -
ApplyMate: An AI-Powered Job Application Assistant 🚀This is a submission for the Hacktoberfest Open-Source AI Challenge Week 3: Slow and Steady Searching for a job in tech can feel like an exhausting numbers game. Job seekers apply to dozens of positions, struggle to understand applicant…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.