Jobs numbers in October 2026?
72Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 72KMiddle half 18K – 105K
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Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
The odds
67Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 67KMiddle half 8K – 113K
How the odds have moved
Median: 71K on Oct 20, 67K now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -25,000 | 84% | 80¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 889 | |
| Above 0 | 78% | 73¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 525 | |
| Above 10,000 | 74% | 69¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 346 | |
| Above 20,000 | 71% | 66¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 273 | |
| Above 30,000 | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 699 | |
| Above 40,000 | 63% | 58¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 270 | |
| Above 50,000 | 59% | 54¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 584 | |
| Above 60,000 | 54% | 49¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 538 | |
| Above 70,000 | 48% | 43¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 311 | |
| Above 80,000 | 41% | 37¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 443 | |
| Above 90,000 | 38% | ▲ 1 | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 707 |
| Above 100,000 | 31% | 26¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 84.00 | |
| Above 125,000 | 19% | 14¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 1.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jobs
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Firms 'holding back' on new jobs ahead of BudgetSome businesses are calling for the costs of employing staff to be brought down in the Budget on Wednesday. A publisher from Tavistock, Devon, said he was "holding back" from filling two new positions at his firm because of the cost of… -
How Peyton Manning feels about Colts GM jobPeyton Manning isn’t expected to play savior for the Colts — at least for now. The Hall of Famer likely is not going to add Colts general manager to his résumé, ESPN reported Sunday. The Colts did not approach its former quarterback of 13… -
Trump announces $4.2B Audi manufacturing investment in Georgia, touts 30,000 auto jobsPresident Donald Trump announced during a midterm rally speech Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, in Perry, Georgia, that Audi plans to invest $4.2 billion in a new manufacturing plant in Macon capable of producing 200,000 vehicles annually, while… -
Nationwide to cut 275 jobs in latest round since takeover of Virgin MoneyExclusive: Bosses tell staff cuts part of effort to ‘simplify’ operations and ‘remove duplication’ across wider workforce Nationwide building society is slashing another 275 jobs in the latest round of cuts since bank bosses pushed through… -
Volkswagen to build $4bn Audi SUV factory in US despite job cuts at homeVW investment creates 4,500 jobs in Georgia comes amid Trump’s damaging tariffs, intense Chinese competition and costly shift towards EVs Audi has said it will spend $4bn (£3bn) to build its first factory in the US, as its parent company… -
Democratic Senate Candidate: Trump Did ‘Better Job’ on Border Than BidenOct 25, 2026 at 05:52 PM EDT Josh Turek, the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Iowa, said President Donald Trump has done a “better job” on the border than former President Joe Biden, while identifying several areas where he could work… -
British Columbia's new premier lucks into the job in unexpected political turnConservative party leader and incoming British Columbia Premier Lorne Doerkson A relative outsider has been elected the new leader of the Canadian province of British Columbia after the provincial Conservatives swept to power in a snap… -
Five Candidates For the NC State Football Head Coaching JobWho NC State Should Go After In Its Coaching Search Sports Illustrated Former head coach Dave Doeren was in place in Raleigh for 14 seasons, which felt like an eternity in today’s modern college football. The Wolfpack are due for a big… -
I lost my job in a primary school due to endometriosisHayley lost her job as a teaching assistant last October, after being told she was unfit to work Hayley Locksley was 11 years old when she started her periods and excruciating pain became part of her life. "I used to spend every month in… -
'Damaging Call': Kyle Whittingham Assesses Jason Beck's Job as Michigan's OCANN ARBOR, Mich. — Another week, more disappointment from the Michigan offense. The Wolverines had several chances to beat No. 6 Indiana on Saturday, and they even took the Hoosiers to overtime. But it was little thanks to Michigan's… -
A-listers pledge their allegiance in LA’s mayoral race: ‘Right person for the job’Hollywood stars are urging Angelenos to re-elect Mayor Karen Bass as early voting got underway over the weekend. The endorsements come in a race that has turned into a multimillion-dollar fight, with unions, wealthy donors and police… -
Bundesliga coaches reflect on relentless demands of the job after Vincent Kompany collapseVincent Kompany's collapse on Friday has prompted a number of coaches across German football to reflect on the demands of their profession while sending their best wishes to the Bayern Munich head coach. Kompany collapsed while watching…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions