Who will be the next CEO of NVIDIA? (Before 2029)

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes Jan 1, 2029 · $68K today · $74.2K traded · $48.4K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

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The odds

35%Ian Buck
  • Ian Buck35%
  • Colette Kress23%
  • Thomas Kurian4%
  • Jay Puri2%
  • Matt Garman2%
  • Nick Parker1%
  • Michael Kagan1%
  • Jonah Alben1%
  • Manuvir Das1%
  • Bryan Catanzaro1%
  • Debora Shoquist1%
  • Bill Dally1%
3 more
  • Madison Huang1%
  • Jeff Fisher1%
  • Cristiano Amon1%

How the odds have moved

Ian Buck: 10% on Nov 11, 35% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Ian Buck 35% 34¢ 35¢ $2.86 69.8K
Colette Kress 23% 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 216.0K
Thomas Kurian 4% 8¢ $12.50 15.4K
Jay Puri 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 14.7K
Matt Garman 2% 3¢ $33.33 7.3K
Nick Parker 1% 2¢ $50.00 1.3K
Michael Kagan 1% 2¢ $50.00 6.7K
Jonah Alben 1% 2¢ $50.00 3.9K
Manuvir Das 1% 1¢ $100.00 495
Bryan Catanzaro 1% 1¢ $100.00 6.8K
Debora Shoquist 1% 1¢ $100.00 867
Bill Dally 1% 1¢ $100.00 2.6K
Madison Huang 1% 1¢ $100.00 30.2K
Jeff Fisher 1% 1¢ $100.00 2.4K
Cristiano Amon 1% 1¢ $100.00 585

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Next CEO of NVIDIA?

28%Colette Kress
  • Colette Kress28%▲ 23
  • Ian Buck28%
  • Rene Haas8%
  • Jensen Huang (No Change)7%
15 more
  • Michael Kagan2%
  • Madison Huang2%▼ 14
  • Lisa Su2%▼ 6
  • Nico Caprez2%
  • Jay Puri2%▼ 14
  • Chris Malachowsky2%
  • Jonah Alben1%
  • Debora Shoquist1%▼ 2
  • Thomas Kurian1%
  • Hock Tan<1%
  • Bill Dally<1%▼ 2
  • Pat Gelsinger<1%
  • Spencer Huang<1%
  • Eric Schmidt<1%
  • Matt Garman<1%
PolymarketCloses Dec 31, 2028 · $33K today · $311K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: CEO of NVIDIA, Ian Buck, Colette Kress

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions