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Who will be the world's second trillionaire? (Before Jan 1, 2033)
The odds
- Jeff Bezos21%
- Mark Zuckerberg18%
- Jensen Huang11%▲ 1
- Larry Page6%▲ 1
- Michael Dell5%
- Sergey Brin4%
- Larry Ellison3%
- Bernard Arnault & family3%
- Warren Buffett3%
- Steve Ballmer3%
- Sam Altman3%
- Changpeng Zhao1%
How the odds have moved
Jeff Bezos: 21% on Oct 20, 21% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Bezos | 21% | 19¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 6.7K | |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 18% | 17¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 10.3K | |
| Jensen Huang | 11% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 3.9K |
| Larry Page | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 8.0K |
| Michael Dell | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 724 | ||
| Sergey Brin | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 838 | ||
| Larry Ellison | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 542 | ||
| Bernard Arnault & family | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.3K | ||
| Warren Buffett | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.5K | ||
| Steve Ballmer | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.1K | ||
| Sam Altman | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 6.8K | |
| Changpeng Zhao | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang
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Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, Mark Zuckerberg Agree AI Faces Bottlenecks, But Differ On WhySpaceX (SPCX) and Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk was the most vocal market participant among the Magnificent Seven leaders this week with earnings of both his companies on deck. Meta Platforms (META) CEO Mark Zuckerberg also made headlines… -
On the ground at Nvidia GTC Berlin: Jensen Huang, robot ducks and neocloud distressThis report is from this week’s The Tech Download newsletter. Like what you see? You can subscribe here. Jensen Huang has been busy. Nvidia’s GTC in Berlin was the grand finale of a week-and-a-half whistle stop European tour. Huang met… -
Jensen Huang sees high neocloud demandCNBC's Arjun Kharpal reports on his interview with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at the GTC Conference. Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC ... Jensen Huang sees high neocloud… -
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang urges Europe to build AI infrastructureAI infrastructure investment becomes a key battleground as NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang tours Europe to promote the technology's massive economic benefits. Huang estimates each proposed data center requires fifty billion dollars, generating… -
Nvidia's Jensen Huang says demand for neoclouds is 'off the charts'CNBC Nvidia's Jensen Huang says demand for neoclouds is 'off the charts' -
Watch CNBC's full interview with Nvidia CEO Jensen HuangCNBC Watch CNBC's full interview with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang -
Nvidia's Jensen Huang: AI is like a baby, you have to contain and monitorCNBC Nvidia's Jensen Huang: AI is like a baby, you have to contain and monitor -
How Mark Zuckerberg went to war with his own board of directors over pay and powerThe Washington Post The tech billionaire wanted to lock in his absolute power over Meta even if he sold off stock, according to a filing released by the company. Its directors said no. Mark Zuckerberg went to war over power and money with… -
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says neocloud demand is 'off the charts' but capital is scarceNvidia CEO Jensen Huang told CNBC Thursday that demand for neocloud firms is "off the charts," but scarce capital is holding back growth. "If you look at the fundamentals, the demand for the neo clouds is off the charts," Huang told CNBC's… -
Nvidia's Jensen Huang says he sees no sign of a 2029 memory glut: 'You can always use more'Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told CNBC Thursday that a surplus of memory supply is unlikely by 2029, despite a sell-off in memory stocks over the past week amid concerns about oversupply and weakening demand. "One of the things that's really… -
Meta strikes deal to stop Mark Zuckerberg leaving California over billionaire taxMeta chief executive Mark Zuckerberg Meta has agreed a deal with Mark Zuckerberg to stop the Facebook co-founder from leaving California after he threatened to move from the state because of a proposed tax on billionaires. The agreement… -
Mark Zuckerberg threatened to leave California over proposed billionaire tax, Meta saysOctober 22, 2026 / 10:28 AM EDT / CBS News Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg threatened to move out of California if residents of the state approve a first-of-its-kind billionaire wealth tax when voters head to the polls on Nov. 3, the company said…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions