Who will be the world's second trillionaire? (Before Jan 1, 2033)

Kalshi Economy › Growth & recession Closes Jan 1, 2033 · $4.5K traded · $1K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

21%Jeff Bezos
  • Jeff Bezos21%
  • Mark Zuckerberg18%
  • Jensen Huang11%▲ 1
  • Larry Page6%▲ 1
  • Michael Dell5%
  • Sergey Brin4%
  • Larry Ellison3%
  • Bernard Arnault & family3%
  • Warren Buffett3%
  • Steve Ballmer3%
  • Sam Altman3%
  • Changpeng Zhao1%

How the odds have moved

Jeff Bezos: 21% on Oct 20, 21% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Jeff Bezos 21% 19¢ 22¢ $4.55 6.7K
Mark Zuckerberg 18% 17¢ 19¢ $5.26 10.3K
Jensen Huang 11% ▲ 1 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 3.9K
Larry Page 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 10¢ $10.00 8.0K
Michael Dell 5% 9¢ $11.11 724
Sergey Brin 4% 8¢ $12.50 838
Larry Ellison 3% 6¢ $16.67 542
Bernard Arnault & family 3% 6¢ $16.67 1.3K
Warren Buffett 3% 6¢ $16.67 1.5K
Steve Ballmer 3% 6¢ $16.67 1.1K
Sam Altman 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 6.8K
Changpeng Zhao 1% 2¢ $50.00 1.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions