Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Kalshi Culture Closes Dec 31 · $535 traded · $324 at stake · prices read 5 h ago

The odds

21%Shaquille O'Neal

Shaquille O'Neal21%
Scarlett Johansson21%
The Rock16%
Paul George12%
Dua Lipa8%▲ 1
Timothée Chalamet7%▲ 1
Beyoncé6%▲ 1
Selena Gomez5%▲ 1
Taylor Swift4%▲ 1
Jay-Z2%

How the odds have moved

Shaquille O'Neal: 27% on Oct 19, 21% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Shaquille O'Neal	21%		21¢	30¢	$3.33	702
Scarlett Johansson	21%		12¢	99¢	$1.01	857
The Rock	16%		16¢	25¢	$4.00	447
Paul George	12%		10¢	19¢	$5.26	3.00
Dua Lipa	8%	▲ 1	7¢	14¢	$7.14	50.00
Timothée Chalamet	7%	▲ 1	5¢	12¢	$8.33	382
Beyoncé	6%	▲ 1	4¢	10¢	$10.00	2.00
Selena Gomez	5%	▲ 1	2¢	10¢	$10.00	52.00
Taylor Swift	4%	▲ 1	2¢	7¢	$14.29	1.00
Jay-Z	2%		1¢	5¢	$20.00	1.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Scarlett Johansson, Shaquille O'Neal, The Rock

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Shaquille O'Neal believes that college sports "need to be saved"Yahoo Sports · 3 days agoShaquille O'Neal believes that the current college sports landscape needs a more level playing field, and athletes should be incentivized for their performance as opposed to getting automatic payments ... Shaquille O'Neal believes that the…
Charles Barkley jokingly warns 'Inside the NBA' crew about Shaquille O'Neal's FBI connectionOutKick · 3 days agoFBI Director Kash Patel highlights the successful security operations for the World Cup, Milan Olympics and F1 races, achieving zero major security incidents. Patel credits President Trump's leadership in establishing protocols and…
Dale Brown, LSU basketball coach who discovered a 13-year-old Shaquille O'Neal playing in Germany, dies at 90Daily Mail · 39 h agoBy ALEX RASKIN, US SPORTS NEWS EDITOR and ASSOCIATED PRESS Dale Brown, the LSU basketball coach credited with discovering a 13-year-old Shaquille O'Neal, has passed away one week shy of his 91st birthday. Days earlier, Brown was named the…
‘Gotham’ star joins Scarlett Johansson and Jacob Elordi in Ari Aster’s A24 FilmMEAWW Entertainment · 3 days agoAri Aster’s upcoming thriller 'Scapegoat' brings together Scarlett Johansson, Jacob Elordi, and Jude Law, with its mysterious plot still under wraps. ‘Gotham’ star joins Scarlett Johansson and Jacob Elordi in Ari Aster’s A24 Film Cory…
Say Goodbye to Moody Fall Shades: Scarlett Johansson’s Shows Us The It-Color for Bags of the SeasonGrazia USA · 3 days agoCouple coordination just found its most elegant ambassadors. At the New York Film Festival opening-night premiere of Paper Tiger at Lincoln Center, Scarlett Johansson matched her soft gray dress to Colin Jost’s suit. Meanwhile, her mini…
DC Studios Prepares Poison Ivy Series - Scarlett Johansson Rumors Take Unexpected TurniXBT.games · 3 days agoTranslated with AI from the Russian original. The creators of "The Penguin" are reportedly being sought for the project. DC Studios continues to work on a Poison Ivy series, which media outlets had written off as canceled last summer…
Cory Michael Smith joins Scarlett Johansson, Jacob Elordi in new thriller ‘Scapegoat’ARY News · 4 days agoCory Michael Smith has joined the star-studded cast of Scapegoat, the upcoming thriller from filmmaker Ari Aster, alongside Scarlett Johansson, Jacob Elordi and Jude Law. According to Deadline, Smith is the latest addition to the ensemble…
Roland Mouret Tells All About Victoria Beckham, Meghan Markle, Scarlett Johansson in New MemoirWWD · 2 days agoMouret is frank — but also forgiving — about fellow designers and the actors, royals and celebrity clients he dressed during more than three decades in fashion. LONDON — It has been a heady few weeks for fashion memoirs, with Virginie…
How Michael Che Remembers Kicking Off Beloved Prank War With Scarlett Johansson And Colin JostCinemablend · 2 days agoSNL UK Borrowed James Austin Johnson’s Trump Impression, And I Know The Crossover We Need Next Michael Che Was Asked About Shane Gillis, And He Did Not Look Happy To Be There Michael Che Isn't Sure Why He Did So Many Interviews After Shane…
Billy Idol and Rock Hall Bring Music Education to California SchoolRolling Stone · 2 days agoBilly Idol was on hand as the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Save the Music teamed to provide a California middle school with a music education program. Idol, a 2026 Rock and Roll Hall of Fame inductee, was in attendance Thursday at…
Shaquille O'Neal tells Victor Wembanyama exactly how to bounce back from NBA heartbreakThe Mirror US · 5 days agoVictor Wembanyama, like Shaquille O'Neal, lost his first NBA Finals(Image: Getty Images) When the final buzzer in Game 5 of the 2026 NBA Finals sounded, the San Antonio Spurs’ 7-foot-3 phenom felt like the smallest player in the world…
Cody Rhodes Shares Personal Take on a Final Showdown With The RockWrestling On Fannation · 3 days agoThe rivalry that Cody Rhodes and The Rock have forged over the past few years is in dire need of a definitive conclusion, but it's still up in the air whether fans will ever see The American Nightmare and The Final Boss meet one-on-one in…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onproducer of project, ABC, Fox News

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$535 (2,498 contracts)

At stake$324

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Timothée Chalamet makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions