AL MVP Winner (2026 season)

Kalshi Sports › MLB Closes Dec 8 · $1.1K today · $605K traded · $401K at stake · prices read 24 min ago

The odds

96%Yordan Álvarez
  • Yordan Álvarez96%
  • Junior Caminero1%▼ 2
  • Cam Schlittler1%
  • Aaron Judge<1%
  • Bobby Witt Jr.<1%
  • Cal Raleigh<1%
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.<1%
  • Gunnar Henderson<1%
  • Julio Rodríguez<1%
  • Nick Kurtz<1%
  • José Ramírez<1%
  • Roman Anthony<1%
37 more
  • Pete Alonso<1%
  • Jeremy Peña<1%
  • Corey Seager<1%
  • Carlos Correa<1%
  • Cody Bellinger<1%
  • Zach Neto<1%
  • Wyatt Langford<1%
  • Byron Buxton<1%
  • Alejandro Kirk<1%
  • Adley Rutschman<1%
  • Jo Adell<1%
  • Tarik Skubal<1%
  • Garrett Crochet<1%
  • Riley Greene<1%
  • Jacob Wilson<1%
  • Jackson Holliday<1%
  • Maikel García<1%
  • Josh Naylor<1%
  • Mike Trout<1%
  • Jose Altuve<1%
  • Steven Kwan<1%
  • Yandy Diaz<1%
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.<1%
  • George Springer<1%
  • Jarren Duran<1%
  • Ben Rice<1%
  • Randy Arozarena<1%
  • Trevor Story<1%
  • Daulton Varsho<1%
  • Brent Rooker<1%
  • Colson Montgomery<1%
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
  • Shea Langeliers<1%
  • Munetaka Murakami<1%
  • Dillon Dingler<1%
  • Miguel Vargas<1%
  • Ceddanne Rafaela<1%

How the odds have moved

Yordan Álvarez: 96% on Oct 20, 96% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yordan Álvarez 96% 96¢ 97¢ $1.03 571.1K
Junior Caminero 1% ▼ 2 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 772.0K
Cam Schlittler 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 381.4K
Aaron Judge <1% 1¢ $100.00 270.1K
Bobby Witt Jr. <1% 1¢ $100.00 504.7K
Cal Raleigh <1% 1¢ $100.00 23.5K
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. <1% 1¢ $100.00 46.3K
Gunnar Henderson <1% 1¢ $100.00 60.9K
Julio Rodríguez <1% 1¢ $100.00 267.3K
Nick Kurtz <1% 1¢ $100.00 372.1K
José Ramírez <1% 1¢ $100.00 205.6K
Roman Anthony <1% 1¢ $100.00 128.5K
Pete Alonso <1% 1¢ $100.00 68.0K
Jeremy Peña <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.2K
Corey Seager <1% 1¢ $100.00 12.6K
Carlos Correa <1% 1¢ $100.00 470
Cody Bellinger <1% 1¢ $100.00 129.4K
Zach Neto <1% 1¢ $100.00 10.6K
Wyatt Langford <1% 1¢ $100.00 53.0K
Byron Buxton <1% 1¢ $100.00 132.1K
Alejandro Kirk <1% 1¢ $100.00 54.00
Adley Rutschman <1% 1¢ $100.00 58.9K
Jo Adell <1% 1¢ $100.00 6.0K
Tarik Skubal <1% 1¢ $100.00 43.5K
Garrett Crochet <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.5K
Riley Greene <1% 1¢ $100.00 5.7K
Jacob Wilson <1% 1¢ $100.00 816
Jackson Holliday <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.5K
Maikel García <1% 1¢ $100.00 41.4K
Josh Naylor <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.7K
Mike Trout <1% 1¢ $100.00 220.9K
Jose Altuve <1% 1¢ $100.00 9.4K
Steven Kwan <1% 1¢ $100.00 989
Yandy Diaz <1% 1¢ $100.00 27.1K
Jazz Chisholm Jr. <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.1K
George Springer <1% 1¢ $100.00 4.00
Jarren Duran <1% 1¢ $100.00 26.0K
Ben Rice <1% 1¢ $100.00 503.0K
Randy Arozarena <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.9K
Trevor Story <1% 1¢ $100.00 244
Daulton Varsho <1% 1¢ $100.00 234
Brent Rooker <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.2K
Colson Montgomery <1% 1¢ $100.00 16.5K
Tie/Co-Winners <1% 1¢ $100.00 4.5K
Shea Langeliers <1% 1¢ $100.00 43.7K
Munetaka Murakami <1% 1¢ $100.00 15.1K
Dillon Dingler <1% 1¢ $100.00 227.6K
Miguel Vargas <1% 1¢ $100.00 73.6K
Ceddanne Rafaela <1% 1¢ $100.00 40.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

95%Yordan Alvarez
  • Yordan Alvarez95%
  • Junior Caminero2%
  • Cam Schlittler2%▲ 1
  • Bobby Witt Jr.<1%
16 more
  • Ben Rice<1%
  • Aaron Judge<1%
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.<1%
  • Jose Ramirez<1%
  • Gunnar Henderson<1%
  • Corey Seager<1%
  • Mike Trout<1%
  • Julio Rodriguez<1%
  • Cal Raleigh<1%
  • Nick Kurtz<1%
  • Dillon Dingler<1%
  • Byron Buxton<1%
  • Wilson Contreras<1%
  • Munetaka Murakami<1%
  • Pete Alonso<1%
  • Miguel Vargas<1%
PolymarketCloses Dec 31 · $59 today · $1.1M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: MVP, AL MVP, Yordan Álvarez

Search ›

Related markets

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Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP

15%William Contreras
  • William Contreras15%
  • Jackson Chourio11%
  • Junior Caminero8%
11 more
  • Jake Bauers8%
  • Christian Yelich7%
  • Brice Turang7%
  • Jonathan Aranda6%
  • Yandy Diaz6%
  • Drew Rasmussen6%
  • Aaron Ashby6%
  • Jacob Misiorowski6%
  • Garrett Mitchell5%
  • Chandler Simpson5%
  • Freddy Peralta5%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.