Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
26.9median
1560
Median 26.9Middle half 20.3 – 33.5
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Tennessee Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
23.5median
238
Median 23.5Middle half 18.7 – 31.9
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hagerty, 4+ pts | 95% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| Hagerty, 6+ pts | 95% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| Hagerty, 8+ pts | 95% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 408 |
| Hagerty, 10+ pts | 95% | ▲ 1 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 210 |
| Hagerty, 12+ pts | 94% | 90¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 10.00 | |
| Hagerty, 14+ pts | 85% | ▼ 3 | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 924 |
| Hagerty, 16+ pts | 85% | ▲ 1 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 730 |
| Hagerty, 18+ pts | 78% | ▼ 1 | 74¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 416 |
| Hagerty, 20+ pts | 70% | ▼ 2 | 65¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 1.1K |
| Hagerty, 22+ pts | 59% | ▼ 1 | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 583 |
| Hagerty, 24+ pts | 47% | ▼ 2 | 43¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 1.2K |
| Hagerty, 26+ pts | 43% | ▼ 3 | 30¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 152 |
| Hagerty, 28+ pts | 43% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 554 |
| Hagerty, 30+ pts | 43% | ▲ 54 | 11¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 2.00 |
| Hagerty, 34+ pts | 5% | 0¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | ||
| Hagerty, 36+ pts | 4% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | $12.20 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tennessee Senate
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Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
15%Figures, 5+ pts
232
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
39.2median
2454
Median 39.2Middle half 33 – 45.2
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
61.8median
4278
Median 61.8Middle half 57.4 – 66.4
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
21.9median
737
Median 21.9Middle half 18.1 – 32
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
28.5median
1848
Median 28.5Middle half 22.8 – 40.4
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.