Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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New Mexico's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
23.1median
838
Median 23.1Middle half 15.7 – 30.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 23.4 on Oct 19, 23.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stansbury, 11+ pts | 92% | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 195 | |
| Stansbury, 14+ pts | 81% | ▼ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | |
| Stansbury, 17+ pts | 71% | ▼ 1 | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | |
| Stansbury, 20+ pts | 61% | ▼ 1 | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | |
| Stansbury, 23+ pts | 51% | ▼ 1 | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | |
| Stansbury, 26+ pts | 40% | ▼ 1 | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | |
| Stansbury, 29+ pts | 30% | ▼ 1 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | |
| Stansbury, 32+ pts | 20% | ▼ 1 | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 6.00 |
| Stansbury, 35+ pts | 10% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 35.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Mexico
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How a New Mexico lawsuit ‘win’ vs. Meta could tank the whole US economyNew Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez’s big win against Meta last week means huge risks for every successful company in America; if this decision holds up, the same garbage-lawsuit model could destroy any business. It’s a victory for… -
The 2028 crop hits New MexicoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/24/2026 10:36 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun and Irie Sentner Good Saturday morning. This is Ali Bianco in the driver’s seat. Only 10 days left until the… - The 2028 crop hits New Mexico for inaugural ‘Matanza’ rallyThe “Fourth in the Nation Matanza Rally” is testing the appetite for a more Latino-specific cultural touchstone to round out the presidential candidate event rotation. 10/24/2026 11:19 AM EDT Prospective presidential candidates are known…
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Should New Mexico pay lawmakers?One issue on the New Mexico ballot seems to be generating as much discussion as the races for governor and Congress. And it has nothing to do with the candidates. It's Constitutional Amendment 4, a proposal to begin paying New Mexico's… -
‘Just the beginning’: New Mexico AG warns AI industry after $25B Meta rulingNew Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez said the record-setting judgment should encourage more states to take the tech industry to trial. New Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez (D) discusses a judgment in the state's Facebook case during… -
New Mexico activists rally against Oracle’s multibillion-dollar data centerLAS CRUCES, New Mexico (KVIA)-- Following three days of statewide organizing, activists from across New Mexico and across the country gathered at New Mexico State University to protest Oracle’s multi-billion-dollar planned "Project… -
MON: Democratic US senators considering presidential runs rally party faithful at New Mexico matanza, + MoreDemocratic US senators considering presidential runs rally party faithful at New Mexico matanza– Patrick Lohmann, Source New Mexico Hundreds of enthusiastic Democrats gathered at Balloon Fiesta Park in Albuquerque on Saturday to hear from… -
Democratic US senators considering presidential runs rally party faithful at New Mexico matanzaNow an early primary state, New Mexico on the radar for high-profile Democrats U.S. Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) and his wife, former U.S. Rep. Gabby Giffords (D-Ariz.), addressed Democrats gathered Oct. 24, 2026, for the “4th in the Nation… -
Soros-backed New Mexico AG behind $25B Meta lawsuit accused of seeking ‘tax on speech’The jaw-dropping $25 billion penalty Meta was slapped with on Oct. 21 is raising questions about New Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez’s crackdown on the company’s privacy and content-moderation practices. The massive fine could have a… -
Understanding the upcoming New Mexico ballot issues | OpinionI mostly support the ballot's four Constitutional Amendments. And please vote for the library GO Bond issue, which won't increase tax rates. Hugely important to quality of life, our library hasn't had a major structural update since it… -
Democratic presidential hopefuls pitch populist economics at New Mexico ‘matanza’U.S. Sen. Ben Ray Luján, left, speaks with U.S. Sen. Chris Van Hollen, right, and human rights activist Samia Assed, middle, during the Fourth in the Nation Matanza Rally on Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026 at the Anderson Abruzzo Albuquerque… -
Severe thunderstorms leave New Mexico communities littered with damages⚠️ STORM AFTERMATH: Police officers in Santa Fe, New Mexico, survey the scene following a severe thunderstorm that brought intense wind gusts to neighborhoods, leaving numerous trees ripped from the ground amongst other damage scattered…
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All around the world ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions