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New Jersey Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 21.7 on Oct 20, 20.3 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booker, 9+ pts | 94% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 96.00 |
| Booker, 11+ pts | 90% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.06 | 444 | |
| Booker, 13+ pts | 83% | ▼ 1 | 79¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 523 |
| Booker, 15+ pts | 76% | ▼ 1 | 72¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 406 |
| Booker, 17+ pts | 71% | 70¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 200 | |
| Booker, 19+ pts | 57% | 52¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 452 | |
| Booker, 21+ pts | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 2.4K | |
| Booker, 23+ pts | 37% | 33¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 70.00 | |
| Booker, 25+ pts | 27% | 22¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 38.00 | |
| Booker, 27+ pts | 19% | 14¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 37.00 | |
| Booker, 29+ pts | 12% | 7¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 288 | |
| Booker, 31+ pts | 7% | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 4.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Jersey Senate
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Could Cory Booker Lose His New Jersey Senate Seat? Forecasts Weigh InSen. Cory Booker's grip on his New Jersey Senate seat is drawing attention as forecasters begin weighing the odds of an upset. The Bergen Record examines what the latest projections show about the race and whether the Democrat faces real… - New Jersey Senate Votes 37 to 0 to Extend Hemp Beverage Sales Deadline, Align It With Future Federal ChangesAttorney General Todd Blanche Says DOJ Is Not Seeking to Interfere With State-Legal Marijuana Businesses Marijuana Banking Reform Needs Clear Federal Rules: Op-Ed The New Jersey Senate voted unanimously Thursday to approve legislation…
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Tammy Murphy’s campaign manager leaves after rough start to Senate bid in NJThe shakeup comes ahead of key party conventions. The departure of campaign manager Max Glass comes amid important party conventions and early troubles for New Jersey Senate candidate Tammy Murphy. | Seth Wenig/AP 02/22/2024 5:20 PM EST… - Paramus Mayor Opposes NJ Mall-to-Housing Bill S1766Paramus Mayor Chris DiPiazza is pushing back hard against a New Jersey Senate bill that would let struggling malls and office parks be converted into housing without going through the borough's usual zoning process. The bill's sponsor…
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New Jersey Panel Advances Mattress, Vape Disposal BillsA New Jersey Senate committee advanced bills that would require mattress and e-cigarette producers to fund recycling and disposal programs. States across New Jersey Panel Advances Mattress, Vape Disposal Bills A New Jersey Senate committee… -
New Jersey Bill To Decriminalize Underage Gambling Moves Forward UnanimouslyThe New Jersey Senate Judiciary Committee voted 11-0 on Thursday to advance S597, a bipartisan bill that would remove criminal charges for underage gambling. The bill would replace New Jersey’s current disorderly persons offense for… - New Jersey Senate and Assembly Committees Unanimously Advance Bills Extending Intoxicating Hemp Beverage Sales DeadlineDaily Cannabis News Brief for 10/15/2026 Baltimore Mayor Signs Law Allowing Police to Shut Down Smoke Shops Selling Illegal Marijuana New Jersey lawmakers advanced companion bills in both legislative chambers on Thursday, October 15, that…
- Troy Singleton: You Can’t Address Affordable Housing and Workforce SeparatelyHighlighting the People, Events and Causes that make South Jersey Special Front Runner New Jersey BY TROY SINGLETON | New Jersey State Senator Housing affordability and good-paying jobs must go hand in hand. Today (Oct. 16), I was proud to…
- Sportsbook-Funded Super PACs Launch Midterm Ads Before Nov. 3After a summer pause, a sportsbook-funded political network is buying general election ads in state races in Alabama, Illinois, Georgia and Maryland. Federal filings show money moving through Win for America PAC to affiliated groups on…
- New Jersey Bill Would Make Underage Gambling a Civil OffenseA unanimous vote by the New Jersey Senate Judiciary Committee moves S597 to the Senate Budget and Appropriations Committee. The measure would swap a disorderly persons offense for escalating civil fines and send the money to prevention…
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Sherrill nominates Morris, Hunterdon county prosecutorsExplore the BridgeTower Media network. 35 publications across 4 industries. Robert Carroll, Renée Robeson would each serve 5-year terms New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill announced her nominations for the Hunterdon and Morris County… - Baltimore Mayor Signs Law Allowing Police to Shut Down Smoke Shops Selling Illegal MarijuanaNew Jersey Senate and Assembly Committees Unanimously Advance Bills Extending Intoxicating Hemp Beverage Sales Deadline New Study Achieves Up to 100% Gene Transformation Efficiency in High-THC Marijuana Plants Baltimore Mayor Brandon Scott…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions