Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Minnesota Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
5.96median
023
Median 5.96Middle half 2 – 9.07
How the odds have moved
Median: 6.18 on Oct 20, 5.96 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flanagan, 1+ pts | 83% | ▼ 1 | 82¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 11.3K |
| Flanagan, 2+ pts | 75% | ▼ 1 | 74¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 1.2K |
| Flanagan, 3+ pts | 70% | ▼ 2 | 69¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 21.6K |
| Flanagan, 4+ pts | 64% | ▲ 1 | 61¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | |
| Flanagan, 5+ pts | 62% | 61¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 29.6K | |
| Flanagan, 6+ pts | 50% | 48¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 705 | |
| Flanagan, 7+ pts | 46% | ▼ 1 | 45¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 37.6K |
| Flanagan, 8+ pts | 35% | ▼ 1 | 34¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 1.8K |
| Flanagan, 9+ pts | 26% | ▼ 2 | 25¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 33.7K |
| Flanagan, 11+ pts | 12% | ▼ 4 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 14.7K |
| Flanagan, 13+ pts | 10% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 6.6K |
| Flanagan, 15+ pts | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $15.38 | 3.1K | |
| Flanagan, 17+ pts | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 90.00 | |
| Flanagan, 19+ pts | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $22.73 | 337 | |
| Flanagan, 21+ pts | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | 846 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Minnesota Senate
Search ›-
Election 2026 Minnesota SenatePost Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, a Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, speaks at a campaign rally at Lincoln Park Middle School Saturday, Oct… - Poll: Flanagan Leads Tafoya in Minnesota Senate RaceBy Jim Thomas | Saturday, 24 October 2026 10:15 AM EDT Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan holds a narrow lead over Republican Michele Tafoya, a former NFL sideline reporter, in the state's open U.S. Senate race amid scrutiny of a welfare…
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Kornacki: Tide ‘Working Against’ Democrat in Minnesota Senate RaceWednesday on NBC’s “TODAY,” network chief data analyst Steve Kornacki said Minnesota’s tight Senate race could move in the GOP’s favor because Democratic nominee, Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, has faced a lot of criticism over the… -
Minnesota Senate: Liar? ‘Give Me a Freakin’ Break’Mark Trahant examines the political attacks against Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, a citizen of the White Earth Nation, arguing that President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Republican challenger Michele Tafoya and negative polling… -
Cook Political Report shifts Minnesota Senate race toward GOP while South Carolina race moves leftWashington Examiner Election forecaster Cook Political Report shifted Minnesota’s Senate race toward GOP nominee Michele Tafoya on Tuesday, while shifting two other Senate races in favor of of Democrats in Mississippi and South Carolina… -
Minnesota Senate candidate Austin Peterson focuses on affordability, economic development and political balance in District 4 raceMINNESOTA — Minnesota Senate District 4 candidate Austin Peterson says affordability, government regulations and economic development are among the biggest concerns he is hearing from voters as he campaigns to unseat incumbent Democratic… -
Flanagan’s Lead Narrows as Minnesota Senate Race Jumps Into PlayMinnesota’s open Senate race, once expected to stay safely in Democratic hands, has tightened enough to give Republicans a glimpse of something they have not won in the state for two decades. Flanagan is trying to become the first Native… -
Minnesota Senate Candidate: "She's Just Like Us!"File this under "Too Good To Fact Check" if you'd like. As an urban conservative in Minnesota, I'm used to having that same feeling Charlie Brown gets that split second after Lucy pulls the ball away yet again. But if I didn't believe in… -
Fraud Scandal Seizes Center Stage in Fierce Minnesota Senate Race [WATCH]With Election Day only days away, Minnesota’s Senate contest is tightening as allegations of widespread fraud dominate the campaign. Republican Michelle Tafoya and Democratic Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan confronted the issue during a… -
Tafoya eyes Minnesota Senate shockerMichele Tafoya, a former NFL sideline reporter who became a familiar face on television, is trying to translate her name recognition into a run for the U.S. Senate in Minnesota. Her candidacy puts a national media figure into one of the… -
Cook Political Report Shifts Minnesota Senate Race toward GOP Candidate Michele Tafoya!This is big news! The Cook Political Report shifted Minnesota’s US Senate race toward Michele Tafoya, the polished and unapologetic Republican candidate. Tafoya is running against a wild-eyed far left socialist, Lt. Governor Peggy… -
Flanagan Holds Narrow Lead Over Tafoya in Minnesota Senate RaceMinnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan holds a narrow lead over Republican Michele Tafoya in the state's 2026 U.S. Senate race, according to polling published October 20. SurveyUSA measured Flanagan's support at 45% and Tafoya's at 42%, leaving…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions