Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Michigan Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
28%Rogers, 1+ pts
07
How the odds have moved
Rogers, 1+ pts: 27% on Oct 20, 28% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogers, 1+ pts | 28% | ▲ 2 | 27¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 15.9K |
| Rogers, 2+ pts | 21% | ▼ 1 | 20¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 2.8K |
| Rogers, 3+ pts | 16% | ▼ 1 | 15¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 22.2K |
| Rogers, 4+ pts | 11% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 2.2K |
| Rogers, 5+ pts | 8% | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 18.5K | |
| Rogers, 6+ pts | 6% | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 222 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan Senate
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Trump calls Michigan Senate candidate El-Sayed a ‘jihadist’President Donald Trump speaks at a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, about Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, his family’s alleged support for terrorist organizations and Trump’s characterization of El-Sayed as a ‘jihadist.’ Trump… -
Black voters UNSURE of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate raceBlack voters in Michigan voice their concerns about Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed as only weeks remain in the tight race. Black voters UNSURE of El-Sayed in Michigan Senate race Black voters in Michigan voice their… -
Michigan Senate rivals clash over Muslim Brotherhood allegations as Rogers doubles down on El-Sayed2026 Midterms, Detroit MI, Mike Rogers, Abdul El-Sayed, Election Special, AI Agent, Banking Hack, Auto Tariff, Michigan Voters Michigan Democrat Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed accused Republican rival Mike Rogers of questioning his… -
Trump Targets Muslim Opponent in Michigan Senate PushPresident Trump turned a Michigan Senate contest into a religion-fueled attack line, warning that Democratic candidate Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, a Muslim, would bring extremists into the country if he won. Speaking as he worked to boost the… -
Trump Unloads on El-Sayed as Michigan Senate Showdown Nears [WATCH]President Donald Trump rallied supporters in Port Huron, Michigan, ahead of the Nov. 3 election that will decide control of the House and Senate. The president used the appearance to hammer Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed and… -
Rogers and El-Sayed clash in fiery final Michigan Senate debateFox News Rogers and El-Sayed clash in fiery final Michigan Senate debate Bill McGurn discusses the final debate clash between Michigan Senate candidates Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed. Rogers accuses El-Sayed of ties to the Muslim… -
Sparks fly at Michigan Senate debate, pitting Democratic promises against Republican skepticismDemocratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed painted a picture of the policies his party could deliver in the Senate at a debate on Wednesday evening as Mike Rogers, the Republican nominee, warned about his opponent. (Courtesy: WXYZ) Sparks fly at… -
El-Sayed, Rogers spar over each other's loyalties in final Michigan Senate debateCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. El-Sayed, Rogers… -
‘Only Senator That’ll Need A Metal Detector’: Trump’s Fiery Attack On Michigan Senate Hopeful El-SayedUS President Donald Trump this weekend took his attack on Michigan Senate hopeful Abdul El-Sayed up a notch, saying the Democrat should have to pass through a metal detector before being allowed into the Senate. “He would be the only… -
Final Michigan Senate debate takeaways and rural America’s data center boom: Morning RundownMorning Rundown: Final Michigan Senate debate takeaways, wounded teacher played dead to survive shooting, and the new iPhone Duo reviewed The economy and the war in Iran emerged as dominant debate topics in critical races in Michigan… - Michigan Senate Candidates Clash in Final DebateGet above the noise Log in to follow your topics, join the conversation, and publish a journal of your own. Mike Rogers challenged Abdul El-Sayed's views on Iran and Israel during the debate. The candidates clashed over immigration and ICE…
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Rogers, El-Sayed hold final Michigan Senate debate before midterm electionCBS News Rogers, El-Sayed hold final Michigan Senate debate before midterm election A look into Sterling Heights City Council vote on Flock cameras Michigan coney island regular remembered for his positive impact Guitars stolen from 90s…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
23%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 33.3 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
57median
4272
Median 57Middle half 52.4 – 61.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions