Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
Install
Michigan Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
2.44median
017
Median 2.44
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.29 on Oct 20, 2.44 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El-Sayed, 1+ pts | 69% | ▲ 2 | 68¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 35.1K |
| El-Sayed, 2+ pts | 56% | 55¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 1.1K | |
| El-Sayed, 3+ pts | 43% | ▼ 2 | 42¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 182.0K |
| El-Sayed, 4+ pts | 42% | ▲ 2 | 41¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 2.0K |
| El-Sayed, 5+ pts | 33% | ▲ 3 | 32¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 167.0K |
| El-Sayed, 6+ pts | 23% | ▼ 1 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 4.5K |
| El-Sayed, 7+ pts | 19% | ▼ 1 | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 87.4K |
| El-Sayed, 8+ pts | 16% | ▼ 1 | 15¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 530 |
| El-Sayed, 9+ pts | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 36.3K | |
| El-Sayed, 11+ pts | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $15.63 | 12.2K | |
| El-Sayed, 13+ pts | 5% | 4¢ | 6¢ | $15.63 | 2.8K | |
| El-Sayed, 15+ pts | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | 8.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan Senate
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Rogers and El-Sayed clash in fiery final Michigan Senate debateFox News Rogers and El-Sayed clash in fiery final Michigan Senate debate Bill McGurn discusses the final debate clash between Michigan Senate candidates Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed. Rogers accuses El-Sayed of ties to the Muslim… -
Sparks fly at Michigan Senate debate, pitting Democratic promises against Republican skepticismDemocratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed painted a picture of the policies his party could deliver in the Senate at a debate on Wednesday evening as Mike Rogers, the Republican nominee, warned about his opponent. (Courtesy: WXYZ) Sparks fly at… -
El-Sayed, Rogers spar over each other's loyalties in final Michigan Senate debateCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. El-Sayed, Rogers… -
Rogers, El-Sayed hold final Michigan Senate debate before midterm electionCBS News Rogers, El-Sayed hold final Michigan Senate debate before midterm election A look into Sterling Heights City Council vote on Flock cameras Michigan coney island regular remembered for his positive impact Guitars stolen from 90s… -
Final Michigan Senate debate takeaways and rural America’s data center boom: Morning RundownMorning Rundown: Final Michigan Senate debate takeaways, wounded teacher played dead to survive shooting, and the new iPhone Duo reviewed The economy and the war in Iran emerged as dominant debate topics in critical races in Michigan… -
Michigan Senate rivals clash over Muslim Brotherhood allegations as Rogers doubles down on El-Sayed2026 Midterms, Detroit MI, Mike Rogers, Abdul El-Sayed, Election Special, AI Agent, Banking Hack, Auto Tariff, Michigan Voters Michigan Democrat Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed accused Republican rival Mike Rogers of questioning his… -
El-Sayed, Rogers Trade Personal Attacks in Michigan Senate Debate - CNN 5 Things - Podcast on CNN PodcastsPresident Trump links Russia's release of American prisoner to his decision to waive oil sanctions. El-Sayed, Rogers trade personal attacks in final Michigan Senate Debate. Bodycam & surveillance footage released in fatal police shooting… -
El-Sayed, Rogers trade barbs at final Michigan Senate debateCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. El-Sayed, Rogers… -
Democratic organizer fired after alleging Abdul El-Sayed is taking foreign money in Michigan Senate race: reportA Democratic organizer was fired after he alleged that Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed is accepting overseas campaign contributions, potentially in violation of federal law. “You know, [El-Sayed] has people from overseas that… -
In final Michigan Senate debate, El-Sayed ties Rogers to Trump, while Rogers says El-Sayed is untrustworthyOctober 21, 2026 / 9:21 PM EDT / CBS News Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed clashed onstage Wednesday during the second, and final, debate in the increasingly bitter Michigan Senate race. El-Sayed repeatedly argued his… -
Mike Rogers says Abdul El-Sayed is a national security ‘risk’ who’s ‘bought’ by Muslim Brotherhood in testy Michigan Senate debateMichigan Senate hopeful Mike Rogers torched his Democratic opponent, Abdul El-Sayed, during their debate Wednesday over his alleged ties to the Muslim Brotherhood. Rogers, a former Republican congressman and retired FBI agent, brought up… -
El-Sayed and Rogers facing off in 2nd Michigan Senate debateDemocratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers will meet on the debate stage in Michigan Wednesday night for the second and final time. CBS News White House and politics reporter Aaron Navarro has the latest. El-Sayed…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions