Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
Install
Maine Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
1.47median
015
Median 1.47
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.67 on Oct 20, 1.47 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson, 1+ pts | 55% | ▼ 3 | 53¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 80.6K |
| Jackson, 2+ pts | 45% | ▼ 1 | 42¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 469 |
| Jackson, 3+ pts | 39% | ▲ 1 | 38¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 97.1K |
| Jackson, 4+ pts | 30% | ▲ 2 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 43.00 |
| Jackson, 5+ pts | 23% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 58.6K |
| Jackson, 6+ pts | 15% | ▼ 8 | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 2.5K |
| Jackson, 7+ pts | 14% | ▼ 3 | 12¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 29.1K |
| Jackson, 8+ pts | 12% | ▼ 4 | 10¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 5.00 |
| Jackson, 9+ pts | 8% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.63 | 13.8K |
| Jackson, 11+ pts | 5% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.93 | 4.7K | |
| Jackson, 13+ pts | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | 4.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine Senate
Search ›-
Maine Senate race tied as poll shows Collins, Jackson in dead heatFox News poll reveals a statistically tied race for the Maine Senate seat between Republican Susan Collins and Democrat challenger Troy Jackson. Former Clinton advisor Doug Schoen discusses the implications for both parties. Maine Senate… -
Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate raceCNBC Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate race -
Manchin, Ocasio-Cortez are closers in Maine Senate raceNORWAY, Maine – Susan Collins and Joe Manchin arrived right on time – Maine’s Republican senator and West Virginia’s last Democratic senator, in matching red fleece, making a cheerful Wednesday stop a New Balance factory. Collins… -
Susan Collins Touts Canada Tariff Exemptions in Tight Maine Senate RaceOct 23, 2026 at 03:21 PM EDT Republican Senator Susan Collins announced Friday that U.S. tariffs will exempt nine categories of Canadian imports used by Maine agricultural businesses after she pressed the Trump administration for relief… -
U.S. dropping some Canada tariffs, Susan Collins says as trade war looms over Maine Senate raceSen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, announced today that nine categories of products crucial for Maineâs agricultural industries, including blueberry, potato, apple, and seaweed producers, will be exempted from U.S. tariffs on Canada. CNBC's… -
Fox News Poll: Nail-biter in Maine Senate raceSen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, says she was struck by her opponent Troy Jackson’s ‘shut up’ comment on ‘Hannity.’ Maine voters are in a negative mood this election season. Only 12% say their family is better off financially compared to two… -
Former Democrat Manchin campaigns alongside Collins in Maine Senate raceFox News Former Democrat Manchin campaigns alongside Collins in Maine Senate race Former Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin, who became an independent before leaving the Senate, is campaigning Wednesday in Maine for Republican Sen. Susan Collins… -
Trump’s tariffs loom over Maine Senate race between Collins and JacksonPORTLAND, Maine — The same week President Donald Trump imposed 50% tariffs on imported steel, the domestic supplier of the wire mesh Mark Brooks uses to make lobster traps in Maine hiked prices by 20%. "It's basically the worst business… -
What to Know About the High-Stakes Maine Senate RaceHoping to retake the Senate, Democrats need to flip four seats if they’re successful in defending their seats on home turf in Michigan, Georgia, Minnesota,... What to Know About the High-Stakes Maine Senate Race -
Election 2026 Maine SenateRutland Herald Audience members applaud for Troy Jackson, Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., at a "Students vs, Billionaires" campaign stop Thursday, Oct. 22, 2026, in Portland, Maine. -
Collins and Jackson tied in Maine Senate race: Fox News pollEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Trump Eases Canada Tariffs Amid Tight Maine Senate RaceCollins had pressed the White House to review tariffs that raised costs for companies and agricultural producers in her home state. Maine shares a border with Canada, and many local businesses rely on supplies from across it. The exemption…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions