Georgia Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $2.5K today · $165K traded · $112K at stake · prices read 28 min ago

The odds

10.6median
120
Median 10.6Middle half 6.41 – 14.4

How the odds have moved

Median: 9.55 on Oct 20, 10.6 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Ossoff, 2+ pts 93% 92¢ 93¢ $1.08 32.2K
Ossoff, 3+ pts 91% 91¢ 92¢ $1.09
Ossoff, 4+ pts 89% ▲ 1 88¢ 89¢ $1.12 26.0K
Ossoff, 5+ pts 82% ▼ 1 81¢ 83¢ $1.20 4.5K
Ossoff, 6+ pts 79% ▼ 1 78¢ 79¢ $1.27 38.3K
Ossoff, 7+ pts 70% ▼ 4 68¢ 72¢ $1.39 5.4K
Ossoff, 8+ pts 66% ▼ 2 65¢ 67¢ $1.49 38.9K
Ossoff, 9+ pts 60% ▼ 4 58¢ 61¢ $1.64 3.5K
Ossoff, 10+ pts 56% ▼ 1 55¢ 56¢ $1.79 40.2K
Ossoff, 11+ pts 46% ▼ 4 45¢ 47¢ $2.13 3.1K
Ossoff, 12+ pts 39% ▼ 4 38¢ 40¢ $2.50 30.6K
Ossoff, 13+ pts 31% ▼ 5 30¢ 32¢ $3.13 565
Ossoff, 14+ pts 28% ▼ 1 27¢ 28¢ $3.57 25.3K
Ossoff, 15+ pts 21% ▼ 2 20¢ 21¢ $4.76 4.4K
Ossoff, 16+ pts 16% ▼ 3 15¢ 16¢ $6.25 6.1K
Ossoff, 18+ pts 11% ▼ 2 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 22.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Georgia Senate

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  • Ossoff pulls ahead of Collins in new Georgia Senate pollCBS News · 4 days agoDemocratic Sen. Jon Ossoff has a sizable lead over his Republican opponent Rep. Mike Collins in the Georgia Senate race, according to new polling from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Washington Bureau…
  • Jon Ossoff opens up sizable lead in high-stakes Georgia Senate raceTheGrio · 3 days agoA new Georgia Senate poll finds Jon Ossoff at 48% and Mike Collins at 40%, with nearly 12% of likely voters undecided. Jon Ossoff opens up sizable lead in high-stakes Georgia Senate race Ossoff leads Mike Collins 48% to 40%, with his…
  • Ossoff, Collins make final campaign pushes ahead of Georgia Senate electionYahoo News · 3 days agoBoth candidates in the race for U.S. Senate are on the campaign trail, with Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff and Republican Congressman Mike Collins making their cases to voters. Ossoff voted early last week. On Friday, his Republican opponent…
  • Georgia Senate Dist. 1: Ben Watson, Corey ForemanThe Current · 4 days agoGeorgia State Senate District 1 covers 191,523 residents in parts of Chatham, Liberty, and Bryan counties. The General Assembly meets for 40 days each year; senators also serve year-round on various special committees and assignments…
  • Jon Ossoff Now the -5000 Favorite to Win Georgia Senate Racegambling911.com · 4 days agoATLANTA (Gambling911.com) - To think, just a few months ago Democrat Jon Ossoff was considered among the most vulnerable Democrats and a possible gain for the Republicans. What a difference a few months can make. BetOnline released its…
  • Ossoff Leads Collins in Georgia Senate RaceActiVote · 6 days agoActiVote’s October 20, 2026 Georgia U.S. Senate poll finds that Democrat Jon Ossoff leads Republican Mike Collins by 8.0%. The poll was in the field between October 6 and October 20 (median field date of October 13). The poll was among 400…
  • KFile: Mike Collins joked about pushing Pelosi from a plane, suggested hanging US leadersCNN · 3 days agoIn last week’s Georgia Senate debate, Democrat Jon Ossoff accused Republican congressman Mike Collins of calling for immigrants to be thrown to their deaths from helicopters, referring to a social media post Collins sent in 2024. Collins…
  • Mike Collins Joked About Pushing Pelosi From a PlanePolitical Wire · 2 days agoJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192 “In last week’s Georgia Senate debate, Democrat Jon Ossoff accused Republican congressman Mike Collins of calling for immigrants to be thrown to their deaths from helicopters, referring to a social…
  • Trump comes out swinging at Democrat Jon Ossoff on Georgia campaign stage as Obama unleashes blistering attacks from MichiganDaily Mail · 42 h agoBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER President Donald Trump came out swinging at Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff on Saturday night, wasting little time before mocking the Georgia Democrat's looks and branding his public image a fake…
  • GOP Candidate Joked About Pushing Pelosi Out Of Plane And Hanging U.S. Military LeadersHuffPost · 3 days agoThe midterms will shape our future. HuffPost holds power accountable. Become a member to keep independent journalism strong. CNN reporter Andrew Kaczynski highlighted a litany of troubling past “jokes” from Republican Georgia Senate…
  • Did I Do That?People For · 3 days agoPresident Donald Trump on Friday said he told his administration to file its lawsuit to block certification of the U.S. Senate race in Alaska if Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan loses, kicking off what many fear could become a lengthy battle…
  • Jon Ossoff Solidly Ahead in Georgia Senate RacePolitical Wire · 7 days agoA new Quantus Insights poll in Georgia finds Jon Ossoff (D) leading Mike Collins (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 52% to 45%. Georgia Senate Race Jon Ossoff (D) 52% Mike Collins (R) 45% Quantus Insights poll · likely voters · ±3.8% The same…

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