Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Alabama Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
18.8median
935
Median 18.8Middle half 13.7 – 24
How the odds have moved
Median: 19.1 on Oct 20, 18.8 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore, 11+ pts | 86% | ▲ 2 | 82¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 3.00 |
| Moore, 13+ pts | 79% | ▲ 1 | 75¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 1.5K |
| Moore, 15+ pts | 69% | ▲ 1 | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 623 |
| Moore, 17+ pts | 60% | ▲ 2 | 56¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 310 |
| Moore, 19+ pts | 49% | ▲ 2 | 45¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 1.3K |
| Moore, 21+ pts | 35% | ▲ 1 | 34¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 568 |
| Moore, 23+ pts | 28% | 25¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 4.1K | |
| Moore, 25+ pts | 22% | ▲ 2 | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 1.0K |
| Moore, 27+ pts | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 968 |
| Moore, 29+ pts | 9% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 656 |
| Moore, 31+ pts | 7% | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.20 | 526 | |
| Moore, 33+ pts | 6% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.49 | 759 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alabama Senate
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Alabama Senate Democrats’ top staffer Amanda Brown joins Ross Taylor & AssociatesRoss Taylor & Associates, a government affairs and strategic consulting firm formed last year by two Alabama political juggernauts, John Ross and Charlie Taylor, announced today that Amanda Brown, who most recently served as chief of staff… -
Alabama House Speaker Ledbetter, Pro Tem Gudger propel John Wahl campaign with quarter-million fundraising nightJohn Wahl is expected to post a blockbuster week of fundraising heading into the final days of campaigning for the 2026 general election. Wahl, the Republican nominee for Lt. Governor, can credit that partially to the state’s top two… -
Alabama Senate Race: Who Best Speaks for Agriculture?In a senatorial race with ramifications for U.S. farming, Democrat Everett Wess and Republican Barry Moore are battling in Alabama. A key agriculture state, Alabama is second in U.S. broiler production, second in catfish, and a top… -
Gudger receives Senate Leader of the Year award from regional councils associationMONTGOMERY, Ala. – The Alabama Association of Regional Councils has named Alabama Senate President Pro Tempore Garlan Gudger, R-Cullman, its 2026 Senate Leader of the Year, according to an Oct. 20 announcement from the association. Robby… -
Gudger named AARC Senate Leader of the YearPublished 8:53 am Wednesday, October 21, 2026 Alabama Senate President Pro Tempore Garlan Gudger, R-Cullman, has been named the 2026 Senate Leader of the Year by the Alabama Association of Regional Councils (AARC). Gudger received the… -
Senate District 13 candidates discuss issues ahead of general electionIncumbent Randy Price and challenger Jamie Forsyth share positions on healthcare, taxes, education and other issues facing East Alabama EAST ALABAMA — With the Nov. 3 general election approaching, voters in Alabama Senate District 13 will… -
Battles focused on affordability, building local relationshipsThe Anniston Star Alabama Senate candidate, Jesse Battles, says affordability, industrial development and building relationships with local officials top his agenda as he seeks the District 10 seat. Battles, a small business owner from… -
Priceville’s Linda Duran Public Library receives $5,000 grantPRICEVILLE — Priceville's Linda Duran Public Library received a $5,000 grant during the City Council meeting Monday. The funding, a community service grant appropriated by the state Legislature each year, will help the library purchase new… - 1 week left to register to vote in 2026 midtermsMONTGOMERY, Ala. (WSFA) - The last day to register to vote in Alabama is Monday, Oct. 19. Every Alabama House of Representatives and Senate seat is on the ballot. Going into the midterms, both Republicans and Democrats have races that are…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions