Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass) (Nov 3, 2026)
45%Karen Bass, ≥2%
0%12%
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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
48%Nithya Raman, ≥2%
0%18%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman, ≥2% | 48% | ▼ 1 | 46¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 3.4K |
| Nithya Raman, ≥4% | 43% | ▲ 1 | 39¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 2.3K |
| Nithya Raman, ≥6% | 30% | 26¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 1.7K | |
| Nithya Raman, ≥8% | 28% | 24¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 852 | |
| Nithya Raman, ≥10% | 22% | 20¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 2.5K | |
| Nithya Raman, ≥12% | 16% | 15¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 5.00 | |
| Nithya Raman, ≥14% | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 5.00 | |
| Nithya Raman, ≥16% | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Los Angeles, Nithya Raman
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.