Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
10%chance▲ 3
Install
Will the Jones Act be repealed? (Before Jan 4, 2027)
The odds
7%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 8% on Oct 20, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | 4¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 8.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jones Act
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Carbajal Questions DHS Oversight of Jones Act Waivers, Foreign Vessel OpsCopyright MarineLink.com | GT Sometime back in the fall of 2025, I was contacted by a prominent national television, radio, and print news reporter with… Shippers' appetite for lower-carbon marine fuels weakened this year as the fate of a… -
Trump's War With Iran Pushed Him To Waive a Century-Old Shipping Law. Commerce Boomed.America's interminable war with Iran has killed thousands, disrupted commerce that flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and raised prices on the home front. But there may be one silver lining. In an attempt to lower gas prices that spiked… -
Korea Seeks U.S. Shipbuilding Visa Quota for MASGA ProjectCondition Set for $150 Billion Investment Existing E-4 Professional Visa Seen as Insufficient Talks Aim to Widen Entry for Korean Skilled Workers Joint Korea-U.S. Shipbuilding R&D to Get 155.7 Billion Won The scale of joint Korea-U.S… -
MARITIME PARTNERS ACQUIRES E1 MARINE, PAVING THE WAY FOR HYDROGEN-POWERED MARITIME SOLUTIONSJul 01, 2024, 07:00 ET e1 Marine Acquisition Provides New Opportunities for Cleaner Fuel NEW ORLEANS, July 1, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Maritime Partners, LLC ("Maritime Partners"), a leading provider of maritime financing solutions primarily… -
Pump-price average in Trump's second term set to top Biden's before midtermsEnergy was a headline promise in Trump's 2024 bid, including sub-$2 gas and a return to US "energy dominance." Prices did cool early in his second term, but this year they rose after the Iran war he initiated with Israel in February choked… - Matson christens 1st new vessel of $1B US shipyard orderMatson christened the containership Makua at Hanwha Philly Shipyard on Oct. 10, marking a milestone in its approximately $1 billion investment in three new vessels for its Hawaii and China–Long Beach Express services. The ship is scheduled…
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Puerto Rico Geopolitics Explained 2026PUERTO RICO · GEOPOLITICS Puerto Rico geopolitics is the politics of a US territory, where Congress holds the final word. Here are the federal powers, the debt board, the status debate and the military role as of October 2026. Puerto Rico… -
Daughter of woman killed after reporting domestic violence to Boynton Beach Police refiles wrongful death suitThe daughter of a woman who was shot to death within an hour of going to Boynton Beach Police to report being stalked by her ex-boyfriend has refiled a wrongful death lawsuit against the city and one of its officers. After clearing the… - First Of Three New Aloha-Class Containerships Christened In PhiladelphiaMatson, Inc. (NYSE: MATX), a leading U.S. carrier in the Pacific, and Hanwha Philly Shipyard, Inc. (HPSI), a leading U.S. shipbuilder of ocean-going merchant vessels, christened the first of three new containerships being built for…
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Container Vessel News Roundup | October 15 – US newbuild christening, Chinese yards' new contracts and moreA US operator has christened the newest addition to its trans-oceanic fleet while two Chinese yards secure orders from domestic and overseas customers. Two European owners have unveiled plans for further fleet expansion. The two vessels… -
Capitalizing on Crisis: How fertilizer companies are profiting from supply chain disruptionsBut time and time again, the industry has been adept at blunting criticism and using crises to further expand its market position. Tight global supplies have served as an opportunity for the fertilizer industry to push for reduced tariffs… -
Kirby Corporation (KEX) Gains 0.6% After J.P. Morgan Initiates Coverage with Outperform RatingOn October 14, 2026, Kirby Corporation (NYSE: KEX) experienced a 0.6% rise in its stock price following J.P. Morgan's initiation of coverage with an Outperform rating and a price target of $200. The analyst report highlighted Kirby’s…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions