S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Oct 26, 2026)
77%chance▲ 20
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S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Oct 21, 2026)
Settled YesA day before, traders gave it 75%.
The last odds before it closed
100%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 75% on Oct 21, 100% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Yes | 100% | 10.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: S&P 500, stocks, S&P Daily Up
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Stock futures climb as traders try to recover from the S&P 500's losing week: Live updatesStock futures rose on Sunday evening as traders sought to shake off the S&P 500's weekly loss. S&P 500 futures were up 0.3% while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 85 points, or 0.2%. Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.4%. Rising oil… -
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Long-Term Outlook: What Historical Trends Suggest for Patient InvestorsOver its decades-long history, the S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.52%) has returned roughly 10% annually with dividends reinvested. If you're looking for a baseline expectation for what stocks could return over the long-term future, this is probably a… -
Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon Make Up About 15% of the S&P 500. All 3 Report Earnings Within 2 Days.The S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.52%) has climbed around 12% in 2026 as of this writing, not counting dividends. But three of the index's five biggest companies have trailed. Microsoft (MSFT +0.66%) is up around 8% this year, Amazon (AMZN -0.95%) is… -
This S&P 500 crash signal just made a major positive U-turnThe S&P 500 is showing signs of a broader recovery after a sharp deterioration in market breadth raised concerns about the sustainability of its rally earlier this month. The latest rebound suggests buying interest is spreading beyond the… -
The S&P 500 Is At A Crossroads, That's A Buying OpportunityThe S&P 500 is at a technical inflection point, with near-term direction hinging on next week's price action and macro events. Read more on the market here. I've read a lot about the AI concerns over the last week, and honestly, it seems… -
3 Dividend ETFs With Over $10 Billion Each Pay Up to 3.31% and Beat the S&P 500 Over the Past YearThree giant dividend ETFs each cleared a benchmark most yield-focused funds struggle to touch, yet their five-year records tell a starkly different story about what income investing actually costs over time. The ETF Examiner desk. Editor… -
Up 35%, How Long Can Coca-Cola Continue Crushing the S&P 500?Coca-Cola (KO -2.76%) has delivered for investors this year. The stock has scored total returns of 35% since the beginning of the year. That is well above the 14% total return of the S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.52%), an unusual performance for a… -
Magnificent 7 Stocks Statistics 2026: Market Cap, S&P 500 Weight and ReturnsThe Magnificent 7 are seven large U.S. companies that now make up more than one-third of the S&P 500. Their combined market value is close to $25 trillion. This article uses data from Fidelity, MarketWatch, The Motley Fool, Seeking Alpha… -
Realty Income Yields More Than Quintuple the S&P 500. Here's What a $10,000 Investment Produces in Yearly Dividends.At the current share price, Realty Income (O -0.30%) pays a forward dividend yield of 5.9%. This gives it a yield over 5 times that of the S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.52%), which currently has a forward dividend yield of under 1.1%. As a real estate… -
Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF $XLG Stock Bought by Madrona Financial Services LLCPosted by Danessa Lincoln on Oct 25th, 2026 Shares of NYSEARCA XLG opened at $62.26 on Friday. Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF has a one year low of $52.60 and a one year high of $65.26. The business’s fifty day moving average price is $63.26… -
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF $VOO Stock Position Increased by SBI Securities Co. Ltd.Posted by Mitch Edgeman on Oct 25th, 2026 Shares of VOO stock opened at $698.58 on Friday. The stock has a 50-day simple moving average of $705.87 and a 200 day simple moving average of $687.57. Vanguard S&P 500 ETF has a fifty-two week… -
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF $IVV Stock: Crescent Grove Advisors LLC Lowers HoldingsCrescent Grove Advisors LLC trimmed its position in iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:IVV – Free Report) by 3.8% in the third quarter, according to its most recent filing with the SEC. The fund owned 95,340 shares of the ETF’s stock after…
Related markets
All indexes ›How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?
31,364high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 31,364.
- Reaches 30,800100%
- Reaches 31,000100%
10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
5.35%median
1.74%8.24%
Median 5.35%Middle half 4.07% – 6.46%
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
$776.81high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $776.81 and as low as $752.86.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $78027%
- Falls to $760>99%
- Falls to $75030%
Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
90%chance▼ 1
S&P 500 Futures Price (Oct 26, 2026)
21%Above 7,175
7,1507,900
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions