S&P price at year-end? (Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST)

Kalshi Finance › Indexes Closes Dec 31 · $42 today · $26.6K traded · $16.3K at stake · prices read 71 min ago

The odds

7,810median
6,8008,600
Median 7,810Middle half 7,406 – 8,055

How the odds have moved

Median: 7,783 on Oct 20, 7,810 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
6,900 or above 92% ▲ 1 89¢ 95¢ $1.05 2.9K
7,000 or above 88% ▲ 2 85¢ 91¢ $1.10 2.2K
7,100 or above 83% ▲ 1 81¢ 85¢ $1.18 792
7,200 or above 83% ▼ 2 78¢ 87¢ $1.15 857
7,300 or above 78% ▲ 1 75¢ 81¢ $1.23 2.6K
7,400 or above 76% 74¢ 77¢ $1.30 2.6K
7,500 or above 67% ▼ 1 64¢ 69¢ $1.45 1.8K
7,600 or above 61% ▲ 1 58¢ 63¢ $1.59 8.2K
7,700 or above 57% ▲ 1 55¢ 60¢ $1.67 4.4K
7,800 or above 51% ▲ 1 50¢ 52¢ $1.92 8.3K
7,900 or above 41% ▲ 1 39¢ 43¢ $2.33 5.9K
8,000 or above 34% ▲ 2 30¢ 37¢ $2.70 2.9K
8,100 or above 18% 17¢ 28¢ $3.57 567
8,200 or above 14% ▲ 2 12¢ 17¢ $5.88 1.1K
8,300 or above 5% ▼ 4 2¢ 13¢ $7.69 929
8,400 or above 4% 8¢ $12.50 696
8,500 or above 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 2.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All indexes ›

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

$776.13high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $776.13 and as low as $750.29.

  • Reaches $770>99%
  • Reaches $78019%
  • Falls to $760>99%
  • Falls to $75049%

Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions