Hurricane Vance category?
4%Category 4 or above
36
Install
Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?
The odds
2%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 2% on Oct 20, 2% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 78.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: hurricane, tropical storm, Hurricane Isaias
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Hurricane Isaias claims top $580 million so farCopper Brock helps salvage what he can from the Milton Quick Stop in Milton, Florida, after the roof was torn off when Hurricane Isaias passed through the area on Oct. 10. -
Tropical storm Champi bringing heavy rain to western JapanTropical storm Champi is moving northeast over the East China Sea. Atmospheric conditions are very unstable in western and eastern Japan, as warm and damp air around the storm flows into a front stretching near the main island of Honshu… -
Figures Calls for Major Disaster Declaration in Response to Hurricane Isaias DamageMONTGOMERY – Today, Congressman Shomari C. Figures Calls for Major Disaster Declaration in Response to Hurricane Isaias Damage -
Gov. Kay Ivey seeks federal disaster relief following Hurricane IsaiasMONTGOMERY, Ala. (WAKA) – Gov. Kay Ivey has asked for a federal major disaster declaration for 23 Alabama counties following Hurricane Isaias, including some in the Action 8 viewing area. Counties in the request are: Baldwin, Barbour… -
Tropical Storm Champi: Japan's Kyushu braces for landfall after storm sweeps past southwest regionJapan's Kyushu region is bracing for Tropical Storm Champi's landfall, as it sweeps past the nation's southwestern islands, leaving a trail of destruction. Authorities warn of more heavy rain, violent winds and storm surges, along with… -
HURRICANE EMERGENCY: Category 2 Hurricane Isaias Barrels Toward Gulf Coast With 100 MPH Winds; Mass Evacuations OrderedHurricane Isaias has strengthened into a powerful Category 2 storm with sustained winds of 100 mph as it races toward the U.S. Gulf Coast, triggering mandatory evacuations, emergency declarations, school closures and warnings of… -
Hurricane Isaias causes $582 million in insured damage; state seeks $237 million from FEMARoofing material lies on the ground after Hurricane Isaias tore it from a building in Destin on Oct. 10. The Category 2 hurricane caused an estimated $582 million in insured damage across Florida, with most claims coming from the western… -
Gov. Ivey requests federal disaster declaration after Hurricane IsaiasGeneral admission hours are from 10 a.m. until 4 p.m. Saturday, Oct. 24. FOX10 News reached out to the communications district, asking what the protocol is for when a call should be transferred. The ... Gov. Ivey requests federal disaster… -
Tropical Storm Champi nears mainland China after battering Taiwan, JapanA powerful storm swept towards mainland China on Saturday after battering Taiwan and Japan’s southernmost islands, knocking out power to thousands of households and forcing the cancellation of hundreds of flights. Typhoon Champi was… - Tropical Storm Champi nears China after battering Taiwan, JapanA powerful storm swept towards China yesterday after battering Taiwan and Japan’s southernmost islands, knocking out power to thousands of households and forcing the cancellation of hundreds of ... Choose a section, type your search topic…
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Tropical Storm In-Fa 'looking like a northern CNMI storm,' could become CAT 4 typhoonCurrently, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecasts In-Fa to possibly reach the northern Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas Islands by morning Oct. 30, 2026 as a Category 3 typhoon. In-Fa is located 280 miles northwest of Kwajalein… - Press Release: Shomari Figures Calls for Major Disaster Declaration After Hurricane Isaias DamageFigures seeks disaster declaration: Congressman Shomari C. Figures said he sent a letter to President Trump asking the White House to approve Governor Kay Ivey’s request for a Major Disaster Declaration after Hurricane Isaias. He said the…
Related markets
All hurricanes & storms ›How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? (Eastern Pacific in 2026)
7.65median
59
Median 7.65Middle half 7.31 – 7.99
How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year? (Eastern Pacific in 2026)
21median
1728
Median 21Middle half 20.0 – 22.1
Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?
47%Above 10
835
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
13%Above 1
08
Hurricane Hanna category?
1%Category 1 or above
06
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions