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How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 10.2 on Oct 20, 10.2 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 7 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.8K | ||
| 7 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 12.5K |
| 8 | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 4.1K | |
| 9 | 18% | ▼ 2 | 17¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 5.1K |
| 10 | 34% | ▲ 2 | 30¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 6.6K |
| 11 | 35% | ▼ 1 | 33¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 18.3K |
| 12 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 9.0K |
| Above 12 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 7.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House, Pennsylvania
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Working-class voters could play key role in Pennsylvania House racesPennsylvania voter James Shafer discusses how inflation, rising gas prices and the economy are affecting working-class voters ahead of the 2026 midterm elections on ‘America Reports.’ ... Working-class voters could play key role in… -
In Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, Fitzpatrick-Harvie House race tightensIn Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, which includes Bucks County and part of Montgomery County, the race between incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick and Bob Harvie, a Democrat, is heating up. Reporter Dan Snyder talked to… -
Democrats poised for significant House gains, Cook Political Report estimatesThe nonpartisan Cook Political Report projects Democrats will most likely flip between 12 and 22 seats in November — potentially giving them bigger majorities than the ones they won during blue waves in the 2006 and 2018 midterms. On… -
Democrat hoping to flip Nebraska House seat pushing for action on affordabilityCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Democrat hoping to… -
Map Shows Closest House Races as Cook Shifts 19 Seats Toward DemocratsOct 23, 2026 at 12:01 PM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 12:04 PM EDT No seats were shifted toward Republicans in the latest update from the elections forecaster published on Friday. The update brings six seats that were previously classified as… -
Thune weighs nightmare scenario for GOP as Democrats threaten to flip HouseElection forecasters see Democrats taking the House, but Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told Fox News Digital he is confident Republicans will hold the chamber, and he won’t have to work with potential Speaker Hakeem Jeffries… -
Senate Democrat Probes Tether Payments to Ex-White House Crypto Adviser’s FirmTether is facing fresh scrutiny in the Senate over millions of dollars that reportedly flowed to a firm co-owned by Bo Hines while he helped shape U.S. stablecoin law at the White House. Sen. Richard Blumenthal, D-Conn., the top Democrat… -
Why Cook Political Report just shifted 19 more House races in Democrats' directionDana Bash is joined by Erin Covey of the Cook Political Report as the nonpartisan ratings outlet shifts 19 House races in Democrats' direction. She explains which races they moved and why - including which Republican incumbents are facing… -
Pennsylvania voter explains his shift from liberal to conservativePennsylvania voter James Shafer explains why he went from a liberal Democrat to a conservative Republican on ‘America Reports.’ ... Pennsylvania voter explains his shift from liberal to conservative Pennsylvania voter James Shafer explains… -
How Democrats could win the House, how the GOP could hang on, and where to look for a waveDemocrats must compete deeper in territory Trump won in 2024 to make big gains in this year’s midterms, but the political environment is on their side. In 2024, America swung to the right, powering Donald Trump back to the White House with… -
Pennsylvania Democrats Bet Everything on Four House FlipsPennsylvania's primary elections Tuesday revealed the battlefield Democrats will fight on this fall, with party strategists identifying four congressional districts as essential to any hope of retaking the House. The stakes are high… -
Poverty simulation gives Pennsylvania participants glimpse of life on tight budgetCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Poverty…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.