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How many House seats will Democrats win in New York? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 19.8 on Oct 20, 19.8 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 16 | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.4K | ||
| 16 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.1K | ||
| 17 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.0K | ||
| 18 | 5% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.0K |
| 19 | 32% | 30¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 6.3K | |
| 20 | 34% | ▼ 1 | 31¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 1.7K |
| 21 | 16% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 6.6K |
| 22 | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 6.5K | |
| 23 | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.0K | |
| Above 23 | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York, House
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New York Archdiocese agrees to settlement for 1,300 sexual abuse victimsCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change New York Archdiocese agrees to settlement for 1,300 sexual abuse victims Trump, Obama make Senate campaign stops in opposite… -
New York’s union-loving Board of Regents is wrecking our schools — let’s scrap itNew York State’s education system is in steep decline. Enrollment is down, but spending is up, and academic results are either stagnant or declining. It’s time to reform our system of governance by axing the Board of Regents and giving the… -
Voices of the voters in the 2026 New York governor's raceCBS News New York is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCBS-TV and channel 2, CBS News New York offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. - The 5:33 |… -
Even a socialist like Mamdani can improve New York — here’s howMayor Zohran Mamdani recently made an observation that ought to command widespread agreement. “Quality of life has come to be seen as somehow a right-wing concern,” he said. The same goes for efficiency and rooting out waste. His point was… -
Hochul, Blakeman focus on affordability in campaign stops across New York CityOctober 24, 2026 / 12:03 AM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman campaigned on opposite sides of New York City on Friday, speaking with voters about on affordability, taxes and public safety as the… -
New York on pace to lose 1 congressional seat in 2022As the numbers stand now, there would need to be a very sudden shift in population for New York’s total to be anything but 26 seats in the decade following the 2022 reapportionment. | Carlos Osorio/AP 12/21/2017 05:02 AM EST ALBANY — It’s… -
Hochul campaigns with Mamdani as New York's governor's race enters final stretchOctober 23, 2026 / 6:44 PM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is increasingly turning to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as she seeks to energize voters in the final weeks of the gubernatorial campaign. Hochul joined Mamdani at a… -
First Russian diesel tanker heads to New York after Trump's deal with Putin to lower fuel pricesRetired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold Punaro discusses President Donald Trump's diesel deal with Russia as a tanker heads to the US on 'America Reports.' The first tanker with 40,000 tons of diesel left for New York from Russia earlier… -
New York's top court affirms law shifting local elections to even-numbered yearsOctober 17, 2025 / 10:18 PM EDT / AP New York's highest court on Thursday upheld a law shifting local elections to even-numbered years, bringing most county and town elections in line with statewide and federal races. The state Court of… -
New York City votes to ban horse-drawn carriagesCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. NYC votes to ban… -
New York City mayoral contender Zellnor Myrie out with first TV adThe candidates are looking to make a dent in Andrew Cuomo's significant lead in the polls. Brooklyn state Sen. Zellnor Myrie is releasing his first TV ad of the mayor's race Tuesday. | Courtesy of state Sen. Zellnor Myrie's office… -
How and when to vote early in New York and New Jersey for the 2026 general electionOctober 23, 2026 / 2:51 PM EDT / CBS New York Early voting gets underway Saturday in New York and New Jersey Polling sites will be open around New York City starting at 9 a.m. Saturday. The early voting period will continue through Sunday…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions