How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama? (Nov 3, 2026)
1.18median
-0.502.50
Median 1.18Middle half 0.83 – 1.60
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How many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
8.19median
4.509.50
Median 8.19Middle half 7.20 – 8.97
How the odds have moved
Median: 8.06 on Oct 20, 8.19 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 5 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.7K | ||
| 5 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.5K | ||
| 6 | 10% | ▼ 2 | 9¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 8.0K |
| 7 | 19% | ▼ 1 | 17¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 6.7K |
| 8 | 28% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 2.6K |
| 9 | 34% | 31¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 7.0K | |
| Above 9 | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 31.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House, Michigan
Search ›-
Mike Bloomberg starts spending blitz to help Democrats retake the HouseThree prominent Latin American political leaders have endorsed Rep. María Elvira Salazar (R-Florida) in recent weeks, prompting criticism from some Democrats who describe the international support as foreign interference in a U.S… -
‘Good sign’: House Democrat touts Trump & GOP pulling out Ohio battleground raceNBC News ‘Good sign’: House Democrat touts Trump & GOP pulling out Ohio battleground race Kornacki: Poll shows shift among those who call themselves a MAGA vs. traditional Republican Justice Department sues California over alleged… -
GOP lawmakers warn of impeachment if Democrats flip the HouseFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports the latest on the midterm elections as early voting opens in Ohio and Florida. GOP lawmakers warn of impeachment if Democrats flip the House Fox News chief congressional… -
Voices of Black voters in Michigan | CNN PoliticsBlack voters one both sides of the aisle say that Michigan Senate candidates should not take their vote for granted in this pivotal election. CNN’s Jeff Zeleny reports. Independent journalists and political operatives are churning out… -
Carville says he'd rather Republicans keep the House than Democrats win by five seats, held 'hostage' by DSADemocratic strategist James Carville said during an interview on Sunday that he would rather see the GOP keep the House by five seats than the Democrats winning by five, because the party would be "hostage" to the DSA. Democratic… -
Michigan's Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El Sayed campaigns in GOP strongholdNPR Michigan's Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El Sayed campaigns in GOP stronghold Michigan's Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed is campaigning in the GOP stronghold of Michigan's Upper Peninsula, an area that hasn't voted… -
Michigan audit finds thousands of foster children without oversight; Advocates disagreeOctober 20, 2026 / 5:55 PM EDT / CBS Detroit An audit of Michigan's foster care system revealed that more than half of children in its care didn't receive monitoring by the state to make sure their needs were being met. However, those who… -
Rep John James: Michigan is the center of the universe for this midtermFox News Rep John James: Michigan is the center of the universe for this midterm Rep. John James, R-Mich., discusses his race for governor and other midterm races on 'Hannity.' Rep. John James, R-Mich., discusses his race for governor… -
Evita Duffy-Alfonso analyzes Michigan Senate race and Gen Z voter trendsFox News Evita Duffy-Alfonso analyzes Michigan Senate race and Gen Z voter trends 'The Federalist' contributor Evita Duffy-Alfonso joins 'Fox & Friends First' to discuss the Michigan Senate race between Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed and… -
What Do Donald Trump’s Tariffs Mean For Michigan? Plus, The Israeli ElectionIn the decades following the signing of the North American Free Trade Agreement, the U.S. and Canada built strong economic ties across their border. That robust partnership — which accounts for billions of dollars of goods — made Canada a… -
Michigan heckler the son of Republican adviser paid for ‘influencer marketing’ against El-SayedTimmy Teepell’s firm paid $250,000 by America Next, which has been trying to gin up ‘organic’ opposition to El-Sayed Man who heckled El-Sayed is former Josh Hawley aide, records show The man who attempted to ambush the Democratic Senate… -
Control of Michigan House up for grabs in November electionCapitol Correspondent Tim Skbick is here to help guide you through the guessing game of which party will win control of the Michigan House. The festival, which commemorates the triumph of good over evil, is celebrated with different…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.