What will Pete Hegseth say during his press briefing?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Nov 24 · $78.6K today · $79.7K traded · $60.3K at stake · prices read just now

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The odds

100%Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment
  • Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment100%
  • Iran (3+ times)100%
  • Nuclear100%
  • Democrat100%
  • Trump (5+ times)100%
  • Constitution / Constitutional100%
  • Civilian100%
  • Venezuela / Venezuelan100%
  • Maduro100%
  • America First100%
  • Hormuz100%
  • War Powers100%
8 more
  • Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration100%
  • Ukraine / Ukrainian100%
  • Yemen100%
  • Israel / Israeli13%
  • Oil4%
  • Fake News2%
  • Drone1%
  • Event does not qualify1%

How the odds have moved

Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment: 90% on Nov 9, 100% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment 100% 99¢ 4.1K
Iran (3+ times) 100% 99¢ 14.2K
Nuclear 100% 99¢ 3.0K
Democrat 100% 99¢ 3.3K
Trump (5+ times) 100% 99¢ 4.2K
Constitution / Constitutional 100% 99¢ 3.0K
Civilian 100% 99¢ 4.5K
Venezuela / Venezuelan 100% 99¢ 6.3K
Maduro 100% 99¢ 14.6K
America First 100% 99¢ 3.4K
Hormuz 100% 99¢ 4.6K
War Powers 100% 99¢ 3.2K
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration 100% 99¢ 4.0K
Ukraine / Ukrainian 100% 99¢ 3.4K
Yemen 100% 99¢ 3.0K
Israel / Israeli 13% 13¢ $7.69 8.9K
Oil 4% 8¢ $12.50 5.8K
Fake News 2% 3¢ $33.33 10.1K
Drone 1% 2¢ $50.00 14.7K
Event does not qualify 1% 1¢ $100.00 3.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Pete Hegseth, Pentagon

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions