Texas Governor winner? (2026)
67%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott67%
- Gina Hinojosa33%▼ 2
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Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? (after the 2026 midterms)
The odds
74%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party74%▼ 2
- Republican Party20%▲ 3
- Tie8%
How the odds have moved
Democratic Party: 68% on Oct 20, 74% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 74% | ▼ 2 | 74¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 249.0K |
| Republican Party | 20% | ▲ 3 | 20¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 26.0K |
| Tie | 8% | 7¢ | 9¢ | $10.75 | 8.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Democratic Party, Republican Party
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John Oliver Issues Urgent Warning Ahead of Midterms About the Republican Party’s Nazi TiesJohn Oliver returned to the “Last Week Tonight” desk after a two-week absence and focused the entirety of Sunday night’s episode on a “worrying trend that’s been on the rise” amongst the Republican Party ahead of the Nov. 3 midterm… -
Michigan sheriff to leaves Democratic Party over shift to the leftSaginaw County Sheriff William Federspiel joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discusses leaving the Democratic Party and endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race. Michigan sheriff to leaves Democratic Party over shift to… -
Ex-con former Dem Ill. Gov. Rod Blagojevich urges America to vote Republican: ‘Democratic Party has been hijacked by socialists’Disgraced ex-con and Democratic former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich on Sunday urged voters to cast ballots for Republicans, griping that socialists such as Zohran Mamdani have “hijacked’’ the Dem Party. Blagojevich — who was convicted of… -
Francis Suarez: Hispanic voters are shifting away from the Democratic PartyFormer Miami Mayor Francis Suarez discusses the shifting political alignment of Hispanic voters and President Donald Trump's upcoming Florida rally. Suarez highlights key issues driving voters toward the GOP ahead of the midterm elections… -
Rahm Emanuel pleads for the Democratic Party to welcome more 'McCain-Romney Republicans'Former White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel pressed Democrats to include moderate Republicans in their coalition. (Getty Images) Former Obama White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel encouraged the Democratic Party to appeal to moderate… -
OC Republican Party pounces on mailer it calls ‘racially degrading’A political mailer depicting Republican candidate Gracey Van Der Mark as a sticker logo on a cluster of bananas is receiving harsh criticism from the Orange County Republican Party. In social media posts on Thursday, Oct. 22, the OC GOP… -
'Dead Within the Democratic Party': How AIPAC's Electoral Adventure UnraveledThe lobby's retreat from candidate endorsements follows an election cycle in which targeted Democrats turned AIPAC's spending against it – and former allies questioned what its millions had accomplished 'Dead Within the Democratic Party'… -
Early voting numbers up among Black voters, according to LA Democratic PartyBATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - Nearly 300,000 ballots have been cast in the first four days of early voting in Louisiana, and Black voters are making up a larger share of that total than they did in 2022. “We went from 23.4% of early ballots in… -
Peltola, Democratic Party move to intervene in DOJ election lawsuitThe U.S. Senate campaign of Democrat Mary Peltola is among those asking a federal judge to dismiss a Department of Justice lawsuit that seeks to block election results if she wins. The lawsuit, which President Donald Trump said he… -
Lubbock County Republican Party chairman releases statement ahead of President Trump’s visitLUBBOCK, Texas (KCBD) - Statement from Chairman Ken Adams Regarding President Donald J. Trump’s Visit to Lubbock, Texas “The Lubbock County Republican Party is honored to welcome President Donald J. Trump to Lubbock on Tuesday, October 27… -
Opinion | Can AOC rise to the top of the Democratic Party?She is young, fiery, and fearless, whether boldly calling out President Trump as “a criminal” or standing up for the rights of Kilmar Abrego Garcia, the immigrant mistakenly deported to a prison in El Salvador. Her passion – and the huge… -
This will be a very close race: Ex-Michigan Democratic Party chairFox News This will be a very close race: Ex-Michigan Democratic Party chair Former Michigan Democratic Party chair Lon Johnson analyzes the stakes of the U.S. Senate race and details what Abdul El-Sayed must do to earn support on 'The…
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83%Amy Acton (D)
- Amy Acton (D)83%▲ 1
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New York Governor winner? (2026)
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Florida Governor winner? (2026)
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions