How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? (Before 2029)

Kalshi Economy › Growth & recession Closes Mar 31, 2029 · $3.7K traded · $1.3K at stake · prices read 60 min ago

The odds

6%At least $1 billion
$-48$3,000

How the odds have moved

At least $1 billion: 6% on Oct 20, 6% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least $1 billion 6% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 4.0K
At least 50 billion 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.1K
At least 100 billion 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 545
At least 150 billion 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 205
At least 200 billion 4% 8¢ $12.50 741
At least 250 billion 4% 1¢ 6¢ $17.54 37.3K
At least 500 billion 4% 1¢ 6¢ $18.18 12.5K
At least 750 billion 4% 5¢ 6¢ $16.95 9.9K
At least 1 trillion 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.95 16.5K
At least 2 trillion 4% 2¢ 6¢ $18.18 10.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions