California Governor winner? (Person) (2026)
96%Xavier Becerra
- Xavier Becerra96%
- Steve Hilton4%
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Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?
The odds
79%Florida
- Florida79%▲ 1
- Texas77%▼ 1
- Kansas69%▼ 2
- Georgia48%
- Ohio32%▼ 3
- New Hampshire22%▼ 1
- Wisconsin14%▼ 1
- Alaska11%▲ 1
- Iowa11%▼ 2
- Arizona9%▲ 1
- Michigan5%▼ 1
- Nevada5%▼ 1
3 more
- Vermont5%▼ 1
- Minnesota4%▼ 1
- Pennsylvania3%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 79% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 633 |
| Texas | 77% | ▼ 1 | 73¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 455 |
| Kansas | 69% | ▼ 2 | 67¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 96.00 |
| Georgia | 48% | 44¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 45.00 | |
| Ohio | 32% | ▼ 3 | 28¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 971 |
| New Hampshire | 22% | ▼ 1 | 18¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 402 |
| Wisconsin | 14% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 427 |
| Alaska | 11% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 1.6K |
| Iowa | 11% | ▼ 2 | 9¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 667 |
| Arizona | 9% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 41.00 |
| Michigan | 5% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 73.00 |
| Nevada | 5% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 55.00 |
| Vermont | 5% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 75.00 |
| Minnesota | 4% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 25.00 |
| Pennsylvania | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 262 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Republicans
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Related markets
All governors ›Michigan Governor Election Winner
93%Jocelyn Benson (D)
- Jocelyn Benson (D)93%▼ 1
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Florida Governor winner? (2026)
81%Byron Donalds
- Byron Donalds81%
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Texas Governor winner? (2026)
76%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott76%▲ 1
- Gina Hinojosa24%▼ 1
New York Governor winner? (2026)
94%Kathy Hochul
- Kathy Hochul94%
- Bruce Blakeman7%
California Governor Election Winner
96%Xavier Becerra
- Xavier Becerra96%
- Steve Hilton3%
- Tom Steyer<1%
20 more
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- Katie Porter<1%
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- Toni Atkins<1%
- Kyle Langford<1%
- Chad Bianco<1%
- Eleni Kounalakis<1%
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- Tony Thurmond<1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.