Kansas Senate: which counties will Adam Hamilton win? (2026)
KalshiElections › SenateCloses Nov 3, 2027 · $156 today · $4K traded · $2.1K at stake · prices read 19 min ago
The odds
98%Shawnee
Shawnee98%▲ 1
Johnson97%▼ 1
Riley97%▲ 1
Lyon59%▼ 4
Sedgwick54%▼ 2
Geary41%▼ 4
Harvey26%▲ 2
Leavenworth14%▼ 3
Crawford11%
How the odds have moved
Shawnee: 97% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Shawnee
98%
▲ 1
96¢
99¢
$1.01
Johnson
97%
▼ 1
95¢
99¢
$1.01
15.00
Riley
97%
▲ 1
95¢
99¢
$1.01
Lyon
59%
▼ 4
55¢
62¢
$1.61
1.1K
Sedgwick
54%
▼ 2
50¢
58¢
$1.72
3.1K
Geary
41%
▼ 4
36¢
46¢
$2.17
3.5K
Harvey
26%
▲ 2
21¢
31¢
$3.23
1.00
Leavenworth
14%
▼ 3
9¢
19¢
$5.26
1.7K
Crawford
11%
10¢
11¢
$9.09
10.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Voters sound off before Kansas Senate debate between Roger Marshall and Adam HamiltonCBS News · 4 days agoThe Kansas Senate race is becoming increasingly competitive between incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton. They will go head-to-head on the debate stage Wednesday. CBS News reporter Katrina Kaufman…
The Church Abuse Allegations Shaking Kansas Senate RaceNewsweek · 2 days agoOct 23, 2026 at 12:43 PM EDT Allegations that the Democratic candidate failed to effectively investigate alleged sexual assaults targeting children more than 20 years ago have become a focal point in the closing weeks of the Kansas Senate…
Roger Marshall and Adam Hamilton face off in fiery final Kansas Senate debateNBC News · 4 days agoRepublican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hamilton went head to head in a contentious debate Wednesday night as polls show a toss-up in ruby-red Kansas with less than two weeks until Election Day. Marshall and Hamilton traded…
Kansas Senate rivals distance themselves from party leaders in fiery debateFox News · 4 days agoAffordability concerns dominate the Kansas Senate race as Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton releases a video welcoming President Donald Trump to the state. Fox Business contributor Lou Basenese analyzes whether an economic pitch can win…
Kansas Senate debate: Sen. Roger Marshall, Adam Hamilton debate Iran war, gas pricesKMBC · 4 days agoRepublican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton debated in Kansas City, discussing the Iran war, fuel prices, and campaign attack ads as Election Day approaches. The debate, less tense than their first encounter at the…
Marshall, Hamilton clash in heated Kansas Senate debateCBS News · 3 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Marshall, Hamilton…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions