Game Awards: Best Independent Game (Best Independent Game | 2026)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31 · $15 today · $6.8K traded · $4.6K at stake · prices read 83 min ago

The odds

47%Big Walk
  • Big Walk47%▲ 1
  • Mina the Hollower30%
  • Mewgenics7%▼ 1
  • Mixtape4%
  • Schrödinger’s Call4%
  • Valheim4%
  • Order of the Sinking Star2%
  • Tie2%
  • Slay the Spire 22%
  • Esoteric Ebb2%
  • Cairn1%
  • Mouse: P.I. For Hire1%
2 more
  • Replaced<1%
  • Witchbrook<1%

How the odds have moved

Big Walk: 46% on Oct 20, 47% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Big Walk 47% ▲ 1 47¢ 48¢ $2.08 6.9K
Mina the Hollower 30% 30¢ 36¢ $2.78 9.3K
Mewgenics 7% ▼ 1 7¢ 10¢ $10.00 3.0K
Mixtape 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.00
Schrödinger’s Call 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 126
Valheim 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.00
Order of the Sinking Star 2% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 3.2K
Tie 2% 5¢ $20.00 2.2K
Slay the Spire 2 2% 5¢ $20.00
Esoteric Ebb 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 1.7K
Cairn 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.7K
Mouse: P.I. For Hire 1% 2¢ $50.00 1.5K
Replaced <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.1K
Witchbrook <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Best Independent Game Best Independent, Big Walk

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33%Arknights: Endfield
  • Arknights: Endfield33%▲ 3
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Culture › Awards

The Game Awards: Game of the Year (Game of the Year | 2026)

80%Grand Theft Auto VI
  • Grand Theft Auto VI80%
  • Resident Evil Requiem8%
  • Phantom Blade Zero6%
23 more
  • Crimson Desert3%
  • Control Resonant1%
  • The Duskbloods<1%
  • Fable<1%
  • Marvel's Wolverine<1%
  • Saros<1%
  • Slay the Spire 2<1%
  • Half-Life 3<1%
  • Cairn<1%
  • Onimusha: Way of the Sword<1%
  • Pragmata<1%
  • Marathon<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • Stranger Than Heaven<1%
  • Esoteric Ebb<1%
  • Big Walk<1%
  • The Blood of Dawnwalker<1%
  • Forza Horizon 6<1%
  • 007 First Light<1%
  • Mina the Hollower<1%
  • Gears of War: E-Day<1%
  • Mewgenics<1%
  • Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $890 today
Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

44%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey44%▼ 2
  • You Can See Everything31%▼ 2
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three6%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.