What will Josh Shapiro say during Face the Nation?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Nov 15 · $6.5K today · $14.6K traded · $11K at stake · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

94%Democrat
  • Democrat94%▲ 4
  • Corrupt / Corruption93%▲ 8
  • Healthcare93%▲ 27
  • Trump92%
  • Measles84%▼ 1
  • Republican80%▲ 4
  • Election78%▼ 14
  • Tariff56%
  • Vaccine / Vaccination42%▼ 23
  • 2028 / Campaign42%▼ 22
  • Iran / Iranian31%▼ 25
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence26%▼ 22
4 more
  • Affordable / Affordability23%▼ 21
  • Data Center12%▼ 33
  • Vance12%▼ 21
  • Event does not qualify5%▲ 2

How the odds have moved

Democrat: 95% on Nov 1, 94% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Democrat 94% ▲ 4 93¢ 95¢ $1.05 3.6K
Corrupt / Corruption 93% ▲ 8 91¢ 95¢ $1.05 2.7K
Healthcare 93% ▲ 27 92¢ 93¢ $1.08 2.0K
Trump 92% 89¢ 95¢ $1.05 2.9K
Measles 84% ▼ 1 82¢ 86¢ $1.16 2.2K
Republican 80% ▲ 4 77¢ 82¢ $1.22 238
Election 78% ▼ 14 77¢ 78¢ $1.28 96.00
Tariff 56% 55¢ 57¢ $1.75 1.2K
Vaccine / Vaccination 42% ▼ 23 40¢ 44¢ $2.27 1.2K
2028 / Campaign 42% ▼ 22 22¢ 38¢ $2.63 224
Iran / Iranian 31% ▼ 25 30¢ 31¢ $3.23 1.1K
AI / Artificial Intelligence 26% ▼ 22 25¢ 26¢ $3.85 758
Affordable / Affordability 23% ▼ 21 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 846
Data Center 12% ▼ 33 11¢ 13¢ $7.69 439
Vance 12% ▼ 21 10¢ 13¢ $7.69 352
Event does not qualify 5% ▲ 2 9¢ $11.11 561

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Face the Nation, Josh Shapiro

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100%Ceasefire
  • Ceasefire100%
  • Ethanol81%▲ 12
  • Refinery26%▼ 17
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  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice18%▼ 12
  • Third Term17%▲ 8
  • Autopen / Auto Pen16%▼ 4
  • Zohran / Mamdani11%▼ 2
  • Tomahawk8%▲ 1
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  • Golden Dome6%▲ 3
  • Cybersecurity / Cyber Security6%▼ 12
  • Crypto / Bitcoin6%▼ 4
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis5%▲ 1
  • Uranium4%▼ 1
  • Antifa3%▼ 7
  • Peace in the Middle East3%
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market3%
  • UFO / UAP2%▼ 2
  • Make Iran Great Again1%▼ 1
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What will Trump say during his rally in Dubuque, Iowa?

95%Save America Act
  • Save America Act95%▲ 1
  • America First91%▲ 3
  • China / Chinese89%▲ 3
36 more
  • Tariff (3+ times)87%▲ 2
  • Nuclear (3+ times)86%▲ 5
  • Canada / Canadian85%▲ 7
  • Iran (5+ times)84%▲ 3
  • Steel83%▲ 4
  • Ethanol81%▲ 3
  • Fraud (3+ times)80%▲ 2
  • Hormuz79%▲ 2
  • Made in America / American Made77%
  • Small Business67%▲ 10
  • ICE54%▼ 4
  • Kamala52%▲ 14
  • Gulf of America40%▲ 4
  • Supreme Court38%▼ 6
  • Russia / Ukraine38%
  • Electricity26%▼ 5
  • Blockade23%▲ 9
  • Veteran23%▼ 9
  • Corn19%▼ 10
  • Windmill17%▼ 3
  • Elon / Musk16%▼ 2
  • Israel / Israeli16%▼ 8
  • Data Center15%▼ 1
  • Space Force13%▼ 3
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation12%▼ 3
  • Cattle11%▼ 4
  • Greenland10%▲ 2
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence9%
  • Fentanyl7%▲ 2
  • Social Security (5+ times)6%▼ 1
  • Palestine / Palestinian5%▼ 1
  • Trump Account5%▼ 1
  • Ceasefire4%▼ 2
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
  • Peace in the Middle East1%
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 2
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What will Scott Bessent say during Face the Nation?

93%Event does not qualify
  • Event does not qualify93%▲ 87
  • Dividend / Stimulus31%▼ 2
  • Trump (3+ times)26%▼ 54
16 more
  • Democrat10%▼ 49
  • GDP8%▼ 72
  • Stock Market8%▼ 39
  • Inflation / Inflationary7%▼ 79
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence7%
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline7%▼ 71
  • China / Chinese6%▼ 60
  • Tax Cut / Cut Tax6%▼ 53
  • Buyback / Buy Back5%▼ 19
  • Warsh5%▼ 21
  • Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency5%▼ 18
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability4%▼ 61
  • Tariff4%▼ 48
  • Iran / Iranian4%▼ 76
  • Trump Account4%▼ 37
  • Debt / Deficit2%▼ 54
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What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

98%Marjorie Traitor Greene
  • Marjorie Traitor Greene98%
  • Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus70%
  • Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck62%▼ 14
8 more
  • Piggy60%
  • Low Energy34%
  • Fat Slob34%
  • Little Communist16%▼ 1
  • Fake Tapper13%▲ 4
  • Rocket Man13%
  • Comrade Kamala12%▼ 1
  • Biden Crime Family10%
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What will Trump say during his rally in Salina, Kansas?

94%Save America Act
  • Save America Act94%▲ 1
  • Farm / Farmer93%▲ 5
  • Transgender92%▲ 2
33 more
  • Hormuz87%▲ 12
  • Nuclear (3+ times)86%▲ 5
  • Diesel86%▲ 18
  • Tariff (3+ times)85%▲ 10
  • China / Chinese82%▼ 14
  • Made in America / American Made76%▼ 1
  • Iran (5+ times)70%▼ 1
  • Steel68%▼ 6
  • Kamala63%▲ 3
  • Small Business54%▲ 28
  • ICE52%▼ 20
  • Fraud (3+ times)51%▼ 28
  • Cattle43%▼ 10
  • Aircraft / Aviation43%▼ 27
  • Boeing38%▼ 27
  • Russia / Ukraine36%▲ 10
  • Water34%▼ 10
  • Supreme Court32%▼ 1
  • Windmill21%▲ 6
  • Corn20%▼ 33
  • Insurance18%▲ 3
  • Veteran16%▼ 11
  • Ethanol14%▼ 34
  • Data Center14%▲ 1
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation14%▼ 2
  • Fentanyl11%▼ 2
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence9%▼ 6
  • NATO5%▼ 10
  • Social Security (5+ times)5%▼ 7
  • Ceasefire4%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify4%▲ 1
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What will Bernie say during Face the Nation?

91%Healthcare
  • Healthcare91%▲ 5
  • Billionaire88%▲ 3
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability88%▲ 4
12 more
  • Corrupt / Corruption87%▲ 3
  • Trump (3+ times)76%▼ 4
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence74%▼ 6
  • Israel / Netanyahu53%▼ 22
  • Data Center45%▲ 25
  • ICE39%▼ 15
  • Zohran / Mamdani28%▲ 12
  • Socialist / Socialism22%▼ 26
  • AIPAC17%▲ 2
  • Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement9%▼ 12
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI6%▼ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions