Fed funds rate at end of 2028
3.75%median
0.75%6.25%
Median 3.75%Middle half 2.52% – 4.96%
Install
Fed funds rate at end of 2027
The odds
4.49%median
0.75%6.25%
Median 4.49%Middle half 4.13% – 5.17%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.00% | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | 612 | ||
| Above 1.25% | 98% | 97¢ | $1.02 | 2.6K | ||
| Above 1.50% | 98% | 72¢ | $1.02 | 196 | ||
| Above 1.75% | 98% | 99¢ | $1.02 | 113 | ||
| Above 2.00% | 97% | 92¢ | $1.03 | 233 | ||
| Above 2.25% | 97% | 72¢ | $1.03 | 851 | ||
| Above 2.50% | 90% | 83¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.2K | |
| Above 2.75% | 90% | 88¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 4.6K | |
| Above 3.00% | 89% | ▼ 1 | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 2.2K |
| Above 3.25% | 87% | 86¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 16.4K | |
| Above 3.50% | 87% | ▼ 2 | 83¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 6.9K |
| Above 3.75% | 80% | ▼ 4 | 78¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 25.3K |
| Above 4.00% | 80% | ▼ 4 | 76¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 20.5K |
| Above 4.25% | 71% | ▼ 3 | 67¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 18.3K |
| Above 4.50% | 49% | ▲ 1 | 48¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 16.8K |
| Above 4.75% | 40% | 25¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 1.9K | |
| Above 5.00% | 40% | 16¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 1.1K | |
| Above 5.25% | 18% | 8¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 1.5K | |
| Above 5.50% | 18% | 11¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 311 | |
| Above 5.75% | 15% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 269 |
| Above 6.00% | 15% | 6¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 880 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Federal Reserve, Fed, FOMC
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Wash speaks highly of AI, will the Federal Reserve refrain from raising interest rates in October?This is the first time Walsh has systematically elaborated on his policy stance at a multilateral occasion since he took the helm of the Federal Reserve in May. On local time October 16, during the 2026 Annual Meetings of the International… -
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.