Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Cybercab
89%
▲ 2
86¢
92¢
$1.09
80.00
SpaceX / xAI
88%
▼ 1
86¢
89¢
$1.12
Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation
88%
▲ 1
85¢
90¢
$1.11
29.00
Terafab
88%
86¢
89¢
$1.12
Roadster
87%
▼ 1
85¢
89¢
$1.12
Solar
86%
81¢
90¢
$1.11
201
China
83%
78¢
87¢
$1.15
Semi
82%
▲ 16
58¢
82¢
$1.22
160
Competition
82%
77¢
86¢
$1.16
Tariff
81%
76¢
85¢
$1.18
Megapack 3
80%
75¢
84¢
$1.19
Merge / Merger
64%
59¢
68¢
$1.47
Cybertruck
61%
56¢
65¢
$1.54
Samsung
41%
36¢
45¢
$2.22
Grok (3+ times)
35%
▲ 1
30¢
40¢
$2.50
2.00
Supercharger / Super Charger
35%
31¢
39¢
$2.56
Miami
23%
18¢
27¢
$3.70
Intel
23%
18¢
27¢
$3.70
Waymo
16%
11¢
20¢
$5.00
Gigafactory
15%
11¢
19¢
$5.26
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Buy Tesla ahead of potential SpaceX merger, says BarclaysCNBC · 14 h agoA potential merger with SpaceX makes Tesla a buy, according to Barclays. The bank upgraded the electric vehicle stock to overweight from equal weight. It also hiked its price target to $450 from $370, ...
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Verizon, Tesla, Moderna & moreCNBC · 13 h agoVerizon Communications — The telecommunications company rose 2% after it reported an earnings beat for the third quarter. The company also hiked its full-year 2026 earnings guidance. Neocloud stocks — ...
Tesla turns to Turo to boost adoption of Full Self-Driving (Supervised)TechCrunch · 12 h agoCar rental giant Turo will start advertising which Teslas on its marketplace are outfitted with the automaker’s advanced driver assistance system, Full Self-Driving (Supervised) — or FSD, a collaboration that could boost further adoption…
Tesla gave up the EV crown. Now it wants to win the autonomy raceArs Technica · 10 h agoTesla hopes autonomy subscriptions can deliver the margins car sales cannot. Elon Musk’s “flying” Roadster jumped and flipped through the air this month in a stunt that went viral around the world. But his bigger bet is on changing the way…
SpaceX-Tesla merger depends on Tesla shareholder approvalCrypto Briefing · 14 h agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
Exclusive / SpaceX-Tesla merger could face antitrust scrutinysemafor.com · 4 days agoCould the Tesla-SpaceX merger that Elon Musk floated this week pose antitrust problems? One former Justice Department official told Semafor that the risks are real. Antitrust regulators view such “vertical” mergers as pro-competition, the…
Why is Tesla stock gaining 5% today?invezz.com · 11 h agoBuy TSLA. The catalyst is a credible SpaceX-combination path (independent committees already formed) plus near-term fundamentals improving: FSD users jump to 1.74M and 75%+ of North America new cars include FSD, while energy storage…
Tesla significantly expands Houston Robotaxi service areaDrive Tesla · 11 h agoTesla has expanded its Robotaxi service area in Houston, extending coverage well beyond the initial service area from when fully autonomous rides first launched in April. According to an announcement from Tesla’s official Robotaxi account…
With earnings in rearview mirror, SpaceX-Tesla merger chatter takes center stageCNBC · 4 days agoElon Musk told Tesla shareholders on Wednesday that, when it comes to a potential merger with SpaceX, he’d already “said everything that should be said.” Tesla’s head of investor relations told analysts before opening the call to their…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
