No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
CPO / Co-Packaged Optics
100%
▲ 21
99¢
283
Indium Phosphide
100%
▲ 25
99¢
572
Qualification
100%
▲ 10
99¢
835
Mediacom
6%
▼ 39
1¢
10¢
$10.00
836
FCC / Federal Communications Commission
5%
▼ 10
50¢
$2.00
231
Refund
5%
▼ 46
1¢
8¢
$12.50
886
Firmware
4%
▼ 20
24¢
$4.17
327
Quantum
4%
▼ 48
2¢
5¢
$20.00
31.9K
China / Chinese
3%
▼ 77
1¢
28¢
$3.57
622
Innolight
1%
▼ 5
40¢
$2.50
148
Tariff
1%
▼ 86
47¢
$2.13
1.6K
Pearland
1%
▼ 75
1¢
12¢
$8.33
320
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Applied Optoelectronics, Indium Phosphide
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 12 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions