Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
10%chance▲ 2
Install
Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law? (Before Apr 1, 2027)
The odds
29%Before Apr 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202723%▲ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202729%▲ 3
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 27% on Oct 20, 23% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 23% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 33.9K |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 29% | ▲ 3 | 25¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 759 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Department of Defense, Department of War
Search ›-
Peterson Space Force Base Airman receives Department of War Spirit of Hope Award– Established in honor of legendary entertainer Bob Hope, the Spirit of Hope Award is one of the military's most prestigious honors. This award is presented to individuals and organizations who epitomize the core values of service… -
Department of War Releases New Batch of UFO Files, Including Data on 'Black Triangle' Incidents from This YearThe truth may be out there, and the Trump administration is making sure Americans have a chance to examine the evidence for themselves. The Department of War released another batch of government documents concerning unidentified flying… -
Marquette continues water research initiatives with $4.2 million Department of Defense grant for ‘In Defense of Water’ projectMarquette’s “In Defense of Water” project has received its third grant from the U.S. Department of Defense, worth $4.2 million, to continue developing novel, sustainable technologies to protect human health and the environment, treat… -
UFO Disclosure 2026: Department Of War Releases 7th Batch Of Files; Here's How To AccessThe 7th batch of UFO files from the Department of War went live on Friday, October 23, adding 28 fresh declassified UAP records to the PURSUE archive. Some of the declassified documents date back to the 1940s, 1950s and 1960s, but the most… - 404 Error Page | U.S. Department of WarSecretary of War Pete Hegseth welcomed Air Force Brig. Gen. Melissa S. Cunningham back into the Air Force during a swearing in ceremony at the Pentagon. Cunningham was forced to retire from service in 2022 after declining to take the…
- Photo Collections | U.S. Department of WarFox Company Recruits Master 'Grass Week' U.S. Department of War (.gov)
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Department of Defense says it will buy 850 F-35s from Lockheed Martin: What it meansAir Force Maj. Kristin Wolfe performs a demonstration in the F-35A Lightning II during at the Reno Air Races in Reno, Nev. in Sept. 2021. The F-35 Lightning II Demonstration Team is based out of Hill Air Force Base, Utah. Lockheed Martin… -
Lockheed Martin and Department of War unveil framework for 850 F-35 fighter jetsLockheed Martin has unveiled a long-term framework agreement with the Department of War that lays the groundwork for the procurement and support of at least 850 F-35 Lightning II aircraft over the next 10 years. The proposed arrangement… -
Department of War and Lockheed Martin Finalize Landmark 10-Year F-35 Deal, Securing $7B in Private InvestmentOctober 22, 2026 – Today, the Department of War and Lockheed Martin finalized a landmark 10-year framework agreement to strengthen October 22, 2026 – Today, the Department of War and Lockheed Martin finalized a landmark 10-year framework… -
Department of Defense under fire over massive data breachA class action lawsuit has been filed over a long-running data breach that exposed the personal information of millions of service members and military-affiliated individuals, including social security numbers. The class action lawsuit… - Department of War and Lockheed Martin Finalize Landmark 10-Year F-35 Deal, Securing $7B in Private Investment U.S. Department of War (.gov) Today, the Department of War and Lockheed Martin finalized a landmark 10-year framework agreement to strengthen the F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter fleet. The…
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Vincennes University partners with Department of Defense on Operation NextVincennes University has announced a partnership with the Department of Defense to bring Operation Next to Indiana. VINCENNES, Ind. (WTHI) - Vincennes University has announced a partnership with the Department of Defense to bring Operation…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions