What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Nov 4 · $23 today · $2K traded · $1.4K at stake · prices read 51 min ago

The odds

84%Budget / Deficit
  • Budget / Deficit84%▲ 1
  • Tariff84%
  • Data Center84%▲ 4
  • Property Tax (3+ times)81%
  • Voucher / School Choice80%
  • Medicaid77%▲ 1
  • Cancer (3+ times)77%▲ 1
  • Nitrate77%▲ 1
  • Corrupt / Corruption76%
  • Fraud76%▲ 1
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence72%
  • Trump (3+ times)70%▲ 8
9 more
  • China / Chinese70%
  • Pesticide / Herbicide66%▲ 10
  • Eminent Domain56%▲ 1
  • Ethanol / E1556%▲ 2
  • Vaccine / Vaccination49%▲ 1
  • Right To Repair41%▼ 3
  • Glyphosate / Roundup28%
  • Abortion26%
  • Event does not qualify1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Budget / Deficit 84% ▲ 1 83¢ 85¢ $1.18 10.00
Tariff 84% 83¢ 85¢ $1.18
Data Center 84% ▲ 4 81¢ 86¢ $1.16 66.00
Property Tax (3+ times) 81% 80¢ 81¢ $1.23
Voucher / School Choice 80% 79¢ 80¢ $1.25 4.00
Medicaid 77% ▲ 1 74¢ 80¢ $1.25 6.00
Cancer (3+ times) 77% ▲ 1 72¢ 81¢ $1.23
Nitrate 77% ▲ 1 72¢ 81¢ $1.23
Corrupt / Corruption 76% 71¢ 81¢ $1.23
Fraud 76% ▲ 1 71¢ 80¢ $1.25 17.00
AI / Artificial Intelligence 72% 56¢ 76¢ $1.32 138
Trump (3+ times) 70% ▲ 8 60¢ 71¢ $1.41 1.4K
China / Chinese 70% 65¢ 75¢ $1.33 57.00
Pesticide / Herbicide 66% ▲ 10 47¢ 62¢ $1.61 207
Eminent Domain 56% ▲ 1 52¢ 61¢ $1.64
Ethanol / E15 56% ▲ 2 44¢ 62¢ $1.61 718
Vaccine / Vaccination 49% ▲ 1 46¢ 52¢ $1.92 356
Right To Repair 41% ▼ 3 40¢ 42¢ $2.38 143
Glyphosate / Roundup 28% 23¢ 33¢ $3.03 200
Abortion 26% 23¢ 28¢ $3.57 7.00
Event does not qualify 1% 2¢ $50.00 612

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Iowa Press Debates, Iowa Governor, Governor

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas?

100%Transgender
  • Transgender100%▲ 1
  • Save America Act100%▲ 4
  • Healthcare100%▲ 4
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  • Dividend / Stimulus100%▲ 4
  • Farm / Farmer100%▲ 4
  • Kamala100%▲ 40
  • Aircraft / Aviation100%▲ 28
  • Boeing100%▲ 16
  • Social Security (5+ times)100%▲ 78
  • Small Business100%▲ 14
  • Estate Tax / Death Tax100%▲ 6
  • NATO100%▲ 86
  • Water100%▲ 69
  • Power Plant100%▲ 71
  • Diesel100%▲ 17
  • Cattle100%▲ 79
  • Iran (5+ times)1%▼ 64
  • Made in America / American Made1%▼ 75
  • Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 71
  • Sanctuary1%▼ 56
  • Windmill1%▼ 39
  • Veteran1%▼ 55
  • Electricity1%▼ 26
  • Bombardier1%▼ 55
  • Hormuz1%▼ 54
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence1%▼ 47
  • Gulf of America1%▼ 59
  • Ethanol1%▼ 15
  • Fentanyl1%▼ 24
  • America First1%▼ 21
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation1%▼ 20
  • Fraud (3+ times)1%▼ 12
  • Ceasefire1%▼ 1
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What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)

100%Barack Hussein Obama
  • Barack Hussein Obama100%
  • Sleepy Joe100%
  • Dividend / Stimulus100%
33 more
  • Golf / Golfer / Golfing100%
  • Moon100%
  • Ilhan / Omar100%
  • Diesel100%
  • Soleimani100%
  • Blockade88%
  • Rigged Election / Stolen Election84%
  • Bibi / Netanyahu74%
  • Autopen / Auto Pen71%
  • TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome71%
  • Vivek / Ramaswamy71%
  • Ceasefire71%
  • Ethanol69%
  • Houthi63%
  • Cuba / Cuban52%
  • Stupid Question42%
  • Nobel38%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin27%
  • Zohran / Mamdani26%
  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice25%
  • Tomahawk25%
  • Third Term23%
  • Uranium20%
  • Zacharia19%
  • Antifa18%
  • Cybersecurity / Cyber Security16%
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis14%
  • Peace in the Middle East13%
  • UFO / UAP8%
  • Golden Dome7%
  • Make Iran Great Again7%
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KalshiCloses Oct 26 · $26.6K today

What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo?

83%Event does not qualify
  • Event does not qualify83%▲ 41
  • Corrupt / Corruption27%▼ 59
  • Working Class9%▼ 82
22 more
  • Elon / Musk9%▼ 87
  • Iran / Iranian8%▼ 76
  • Tax Break8%▼ 77
  • Billionaire (5+ times)7%▼ 82
  • Israel / Netanyahu7%▼ 70
  • Climate7%▼ 70
  • Immigrant / Immigration7%▼ 42
  • Midterm6%▼ 61
  • Social Security6%▼ 73
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline6%▼ 83
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics6%▼ 51
  • Bernie6%▼ 56
  • China / Chinese5%▼ 40
  • Trump (5+ times)5%▼ 77
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence5%▼ 89
  • Socialist / Socialism5%▼ 25
  • Data Center4%▼ 68
  • Farm / Farmer4%▼ 19
  • Zohran / Mamdani2%▼ 13
  • Zillion / Zillionaire2%▼ 27
  • Trillionaire2%▼ 14
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI1%▼ 13
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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina?

98%Transgender
  • Transgender98%▲ 1
  • Save America Act96%
  • Hottest95%
31 more
  • Dividend / Stimulus94%▼ 1
  • Healthcare94%▲ 1
  • Stock Market93%▼ 1
  • Sanctuary85%▲ 9
  • Russia / Ukraine84%▲ 6
  • Farm / Farmer80%▼ 5
  • Helene79%▲ 3
  • Estate Tax / Death Tax75%▲ 3
  • Iran (5+ times)71%▼ 6
  • Kamala68%▲ 2
  • Nuclear (3+ times)68%
  • Lumbee67%▼ 1
  • Small Business65%
  • Made in America / American Made64%▼ 3
  • Veteran49%▼ 10
  • Hormuz46%▼ 12
  • FEMA43%▼ 8
  • Gulf of America43%▼ 13
  • Power Plant39%▼ 3
  • Electricity31%▼ 14
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation30%▲ 12
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence28%▼ 4
  • Social Security (5+ times)26%▼ 20
  • Fentanyl22%▲ 4
  • Windmill20%▼ 3
  • America First16%▼ 4
  • Data Center14%▼ 3
  • Fraud (3+ times)12%▼ 1
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What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston?

91%Elon / Musk
  • Elon / Musk91%▼ 2
  • Working Class90%▲ 1
  • Tax Break88%▼ 1
24 more
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence86%▼ 6
  • Trump (5+ times)82%▲ 10
  • Iran / Iranian81%▲ 4
  • Israel / Netanyahu77%▲ 6
  • Housing / Rent76%▲ 5
  • Billionaire (5+ times)75%▼ 7
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline75%▼ 2
  • Corrupt / Corruption71%▼ 6
  • Midterm68%▲ 13
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics57%▼ 8
  • Social Security56%▼ 17
  • Bernie42%▼ 18
  • China / Chinese39%▲ 2
  • Climate37%▼ 38
  • Immigrant / Immigration34%▼ 2
  • Trillionaire30%▲ 12
  • Zillion / Zillionaire27%▲ 13
  • Data Center26%▼ 32
  • Student Loan / Student Debt25%▲ 5
  • Socialist / Socialism17%▼ 17
  • Abbott13%▼ 3
  • Zohran / Mamdani11%▲ 8
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KalshiCloses Nov 3 · $6.2K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.