Jobs numbers in October 2026?
66Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 66KMiddle half 28K – 103K
Install
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 24, 2026
The odds
1,710median
1,6501,800
Median 1,710Middle half 1,701 – 1,731
How the odds have moved
Median: 1,711 on Oct 30, 1,710 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1660K | 97% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | 59.00 | |
| At least 1670K | 97% | ▲ 1 | 92¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 1680K | 97% | ▲ 5 | 88¢ | $1.03 | 4.00 | |
| At least 1690K | 81% | ▼ 5 | 81¢ | $1.23 | 1.00 | |
| At least 1700K | 78% | ▲ 5 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 153 |
| At least 1710K | 50% | ▼ 4 | 51¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 633 |
| At least 1720K | 34% | ▼ 2 | 34¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 814 |
| At least 1760K | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 224 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
Search ›- Strong October jobs report could alter Fed's planned rate hikes in December and 2027.The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates in December and again in 2027, but the upcoming October jobs report could change this outlook. A stronger-than-expected jobs report would allow the Fed to focus more confidently on…
- Gordon Brothers in talks to protect Poundland stores and jobs – reportInvestment company Gordon Brothers has informed the UK Government that it is engaged in discussions to preserve Poundland outlets and employment as the discount chain moves closer to administration, reported Sky News. Poundland’s directors…
- Gold price today: One analyst sees a slide to $3,500, two are watching friday's jobs reportGold (XAU/USD) edges higher and recovers above the $4,000 mark at the time of writing on Wednesday after clinching an uncomfortable milestone: the drop from its final top to this year's breakdown now measures 17.5% - exactly what Gold fell…
- Gold Price Today: Above $4,000 Wednesday as Democrats Win Congress and the Dollar Hits a One-Month Low – Jobs Report 6 November, Bull $4,115, Bear $3,920Our Tuesday gold page had gold near $3,921 with the rebound stalled below $3,950. It said gold needed a weak jobs report on Friday to get back above $4,000. It got there two days early, on the election result instead. Stocks went the other…
- NC State Interviews Russell Wilson For Head Coaching Job: REPORTThe Wolfpack are ratcheting things up. Russell Wilson, an ex-Super Bowl winning quarterback, took part in an interview Tuesday for NC State's head coaching job, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter, citing sources. The 38-year-old Wilson is…
- Economic and event calendar in Asia Wednesday, November 4, 2026 - NZ jobs report, China PMIThe RatingDog PMI data follows official and their manufacturing PMIs earlier this week: The NZ Q3 labour market data is due at 10:45am New Zealand time. After the hold, AUD/NZD jumped to a cycle high around 1.26, with interest rate…
- U.S. Private Payrolls Rise 86,000 in October, Topping ForecastsMatches Pace of September Gain Trade, Transport Lead Job Growth Markets Await Official Jobs Report on the 6th U.S. private-sector hiring rose more than expected in October, pointing to steady job growth. With attention focused on the…
- KuCoin Predictions Weekly Preview (Nov 3, 2026): US Midterms, October Jobs Report, Champions League, and LoL WorldsKuCoin KuCoin Predictions Weekly Preview (Nov 3, 2026): US Midterms, October Jobs Report, Champions League, and LoL Worlds US Midterm Elections: Who Will Control Congress? US October Employment Report: What Will the Unemployment Rate Be?…
- US October ADP Private Nonfarm Payrolls Rise 86,000, Beating EstimatesThe US said **October ADP private nonfarm payrolls** **rose by 86,000 from a month earlier**. The figure was **19,000 above** economists’ **forecast of 67,000**. The ADP employment report is often seen as a **preview of the US Labor…
- Rangers 2027 Payroll Budget Best-Case Scenario Given Contract ConstraintsBack in late September, Texas Rangers president of baseball operations Chris Young said he would know his payroll budget by November. On Monday, he spoke to reporters to kick off free agency, saying the team’s payroll is expected to be…
- Uber pays its drivers ‘wages’ and is liable for $81m payroll tax bill, Australia’s high court rulesRideshare company unsuccessfully argued it didn’t employ workers and claimed money paid was not wages under NSW law The rideshare behemoth Uber has suffered a bruising loss in Australia’s high court that will cost it more than $80m in…
- MLB proposes salary cap delay. What teams would have to cut payroll?Major League Baseball proposed Tuesday, Nov. 3 that a salary cap would be delayed by a year and implemented in 2028, permitting teams to operate knowing what the proposed rules would be in the upcoming Collective Bargaining Agreement. MLB…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 6 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions