Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 13, 12 AM ET23% → 12%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
Nov 11, 12 AM ET28% → 23%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
13%
▲ 3
10¢
15¢
$6.67
3.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Bitcoin hits three-month lowCNBC · 41 h agoMSTR CNBC's MacKenzie Sigalos joins 'Closing Bell' to talk bitcoin prices continuing to struggle as the cryptocurrency hits a three-month low. watch now watch now VIDEO00:56 NEC Director Kevin Hassett expected to depart WH in the coming…
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Fed Chair Warsh Wants Answers on AI Inflation—and Bitcoin May Feel the ImpactDecrypt · 38 h agoDecryptNewsArtificial IntelligenceFed Chair Warsh Wants Answers on AI Inflation—and Bitcoin May Feel the Impact The Federal Reserve is examining whether AI will lower prices or keep inflation elevated, a question that could shape interest…
TSMC Faces Major Security Scare as Hackers Demand BitcoinYahoo Finance · 2 days agoMoz Farooque ACCA Fri, November 13, 2026 at 6:59 AM EST 2 min read TSM BTC-USD NVDA AAPL AMD This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (NYSE:TSM) is investigating the unauthorized exposure of personal…
Why the Path to Quantum Resistance Runs Uphill for Bitcoin Wallet MakersDecrypt · 3 days agoDecryptNewsBusinessWhy the Path to Quantum Resistance Runs Uphill for Bitcoin Wallet Makers Trezor CTO Tomáš Sušánka explains the trade-offs of Bitcoin’s leading post-quantum signature scheme. By André BeganskiEdited by Guillermo…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions