Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond (Before 2030)

Kalshi Culture › Movies & box office Closes Jan 1, 2030 · $5.6K today · $431K traded · $213K at stake · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

48%Jack Lowden
  • Jack Lowden48%▼ 12
  • Callum Turner37%▼ 1
  • Josh O'Connor17%▲ 3
  • Jack Barton10%▼ 1
  • Jacob Elordi8%▼ 2
  • Robert Pattinson6%
  • Henry Cavill5%▲ 3
  • Paul Mescal5%▼ 2
  • Jack O'Connell5%
  • James Norton4%▼ 1
  • Richard Madden4%▲ 3
  • Regé-Jean Page4%
19 more
  • Theo James4%▲ 1
  • Nicholas Hoult4%▼ 2
  • Aaron Pierre3%▲ 1
  • Damson Idris3%
  • Harris Dickinson3%
  • Idris Elba3%
  • Tom Francis3%
  • Aaron Taylor-Johnson3%▼ 1
  • Jonathan Bailey3%
  • George MacKay3%
  • Tom Hardy2%
  • Scott Rose-Marsh2%
  • Henry Ashton2%
  • Nicholas Galitzine2%
  • Tom Holland2%
  • Charlie Hunnam2%
  • Tom Blyth1%▼ 1
  • Cillian Murphy1%
  • Luke Evans1%

How the odds have moved

Jack Lowden: 32% on Oct 20, 48% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 24, 10 PM ETJack Lowden: 62% → 48%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 21, 7 PM ETJack Lowden: 30% → 37%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Jack Lowden 48% ▼ 12 46¢ 50¢ $2.00 230.1K
Callum Turner 37% ▼ 1 36¢ 37¢ $2.70 617.9K
Josh O'Connor 17% ▲ 3 16¢ 17¢ $5.88 148.1K
Jack Barton 10% ▼ 1 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 55.9K
Jacob Elordi 8% ▼ 2 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 339.3K
Robert Pattinson 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 18.7K
Henry Cavill 5% ▲ 3 4¢ 6¢ $16.67 121.7K
Paul Mescal 5% ▼ 2 4¢ 6¢ $16.67 14.5K
Jack O'Connell 5% 4¢ 6¢ $16.67 38.5K
James Norton 4% ▼ 1 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 43.1K
Richard Madden 4% ▲ 3 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 33.0K
Regé-Jean Page 4% 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 28.2K
Theo James 4% ▲ 1 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 96.0K
Nicholas Hoult 4% ▼ 2 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 30.7K
Aaron Pierre 3% ▲ 1 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 42.5K
Damson Idris 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 55.1K
Harris Dickinson 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 122.5K
Idris Elba 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 78.7K
Tom Francis 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 53.6K
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 291.8K
Jonathan Bailey 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 25.8K
George MacKay 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 11.3K
Tom Hardy 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 23.4K
Scott Rose-Marsh 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 17.1K
Henry Ashton 2% 4¢ $25.00 12.2K
Nicholas Galitzine 2% 4¢ $25.00 965
Tom Holland 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 85.0K
Charlie Hunnam 2% 3¢ $33.33 21.8K
Tom Blyth 1% ▼ 1 2¢ $50.00 16.3K
Cillian Murphy 1% 1¢ $100.00 30.1K
Luke Evans 1% 1¢ $100.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: James Bond, Actor, Jack Lowden

Search ›

Related markets

All movies & box office ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.