Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
76%3-6 hours
- 3-6 hours76%▼ 4
- 6-12 hours22%▲ 3
- 12+ hours1%▲ 1
Install
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX? (Before 2030)
The odds
63%chance▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Yes: 61% on Oct 20, 63% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63% | ▲ 2 | 61¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 96.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: SpaceX, Blue Origin
Search ›- When will SpaceX and Blue Origin fly to the moon? NASA reveals lunar lander timelines (and an Artemis III update)If NASA's timeline holds, there are going to be some exciting launches over the next 12 months. NASA has revealed new details about its plans to return astronauts to the surface of the moon, outlining a series of upcoming milestones for…
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Jeff Bezos is playing the long game with Blue Origin (op-ed)Daniel Biedermann is a Partner at NewSpace Capital, a private equity firm investing in high-growth space companies. He has more than 30 years' experience in the space industry and was previously SVP of Corporate Strategy at SES, where he… -
The Biggest Blue Origin Investment Opportunity May Not Be Blue OriginFor more than 25 years, Jeff Bezos has used his personal fortune to turn Blue Origin into one of the world's most ambitious space companies. He has invested billions in rockets, spacecraft and the tec The Biggest Blue Origin Investment… - NASA unveils SpaceX and Blue Origin module test schedule for Artemis — Space.comNASA unveiled a schedule for preparing SpaceX and Blue Origin lunar landers for the Artemis program at the International Astronautical Congress in Antalya, Turkey. The Artemis III mission is planned for the third quarter of 2027: four…
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Blue Origin Plans $330 Million Expansion In FloridaAviation Week Blue Origin Plans $330 Million Expansion In Florida Blue Origin is building a new facility to vertically integrate the upgraded New Glenn 9x4. Irene Klotz is Senior Space Editor for Aviation Week, based in Cape Canaveral… -
SpaceApps Hitches Blue Origin MK1 Lander Ride For Lunar Rover MissionBelgium is headed to the lunar surface with Space Applications Services disclosing plans for its 2029 mission to the south pole of the Moon. SpaceApps Hitches Blue Origin MK1 Lander Ride For Lunar Rover Mission Robert Wall is Executive… - Blue Origin invests $3bn into Florida facilitiesJeff Bezos-backed Blue Origin has seen overall investment into its Florida launch, assembly and pre-launch facilities top more than $3 billion (€2.67bn). The aim is to be ready to launch more New Glenn rocket and more frequently. Starting…
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Blue Origin to invest $554 million in Hutto, Texas manufacturing campus, creating over 2,000 jobsBlue Origin Manufacturing LLC is dropping $554.78 million on an advanced manufacturing and operations campus in Hutto, Texas — and bringing more than 2,000 jobs with it. Texas put up an $18.17 million Texas Enterprise Fund grant, plus a… -
Blue Origin Expands Florida Launch Pads To Challenge SpaceX Launch Dominance@Kmeel_com from pixabay via Canva, @3DSculptor from Getty Images via Canva Blue Origin wants to close the gap with SpaceX (SPCX). A company executive said Friday that it is targeting multiple New Glenn flights per week by the end of the… -
Blue Origin Unveils Plans for Massive Upgrade to Its Florida FacilitiesThe Jeff Bezos-owned company aims to reach a launch cadence for its New Glenn family of rockets of 'multiple flights per week by the end of the decade.' The Jeff Bezos-owned space enterprise aims for a massive increase in flights with its… -
Blue Origin plans $330 million Florida expansion to ramp New Glenn launchesJeff Bezos' Blue Origin said Friday it plans to make extensive upgrades to its Florida launch facilities with the goal of supporting multiple flights per week by the end of the decade. The company will add two more launch and landing pads… -
Blue Origin unveils plans for new facilities at Cape Canaveral, FloridaCNBC Blue Origin unveils plans for new facilities at Cape Canaveral, Florida
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.