What will Hailey Bieber say during NYT DealBook Summit?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Dec 2 · $56 today · $4.8K traded · $2.8K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

80%Rhode
  • Rhode80%▲ 4
  • Skincare / Skin Care62%▼ 1
  • Makeup55%▼ 2
  • e.l.f. / Elf45%▲ 6
  • Event does not qualify6%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Rhode 80% ▲ 4 65¢ 77¢ $1.30 3.3K
Skincare / Skin Care 62% ▼ 1 58¢ 66¢ $1.52 1.8K
Makeup 55% ▼ 2 55¢ 66¢ $1.52 1.9K
e.l.f. / Elf 45% ▲ 6 32¢ 43¢ $2.33 152
Event does not qualify 6% 1¢ 10¢ $10.00 5.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New York Times DealBook Summit, NYT DealBook Summit, Hailey Bieber

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What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)

100%Barack Hussein Obama
  • Barack Hussein Obama100%
  • Sleepy Joe100%
  • Dividend / Stimulus100%
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  • Golf / Golfer / Golfing100%
  • Moon100%
  • Ilhan / Omar100%
  • Diesel100%
  • Soleimani100%
  • Blockade85%
  • Bibi / Netanyahu80%
  • Ethanol77%
  • Houthi75%
  • Rigged Election / Stolen Election75%
  • Vivek / Ramaswamy71%
  • Autopen / Auto Pen69%
  • Ceasefire67%
  • TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome57%
  • Cuba / Cuban51%
  • Stupid Question39%
  • Nobel34%
  • Tomahawk28%
  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice28%
  • Zohran / Mamdani21%
  • Uranium19%
  • Zacharia18%
  • Antifa18%
  • Third Term15%
  • Cybersecurity / Cyber Security15%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin12%
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis11%
  • Peace in the Middle East9%
  • UFO / UAP8%
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market8%
  • Golden Dome7%
  • Make Iran Great Again6%
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KalshiCloses Oct 26 · $28.6K today

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina?

98%Transgender
  • Transgender98%▲ 1
  • Save America Act98%▲ 2
  • Healthcare97%▲ 8
31 more
  • Dividend / Stimulus97%▲ 7
  • Hottest96%▲ 3
  • Stock Market94%▲ 8
  • Sanctuary83%▲ 6
  • Russia / Ukraine83%▲ 3
  • Estate Tax / Death Tax81%▲ 9
  • Helene80%▲ 11
  • Nuclear (3+ times)72%▲ 3
  • Small Business70%▲ 14
  • Kamala67%▲ 1
  • Lumbee67%
  • Farm / Farmer60%▼ 23
  • Made in America / American Made60%▼ 2
  • Iran (5+ times)59%▼ 12
  • FEMA45%▼ 6
  • Veteran42%▼ 17
  • Gulf of America42%▲ 1
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  • Social Security (5+ times)27%▼ 20
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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo?

91%Event does not qualify
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  • Climate7%▼ 76
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  • Immigrant / Immigration7%▼ 25
  • Working Class6%▼ 87
  • Midterm6%▼ 76
  • Social Security6%▼ 75
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  • Bernie6%▼ 54
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline6%▼ 84
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics6%▼ 49
  • China / Chinese6%▼ 37
  • Trump (5+ times)5%▼ 83
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What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston?

93%Elon / Musk
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  • Working Class89%▼ 1
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence89%▲ 1
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  • Trump (5+ times)82%▼ 6
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  • Climate55%▼ 26
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KalshiCloses Nov 3 · $6.4K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.